Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
18%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.272.533.80safe0.31–2.241.67–3.381.98–5.63safer0.05–2.491.45–3.611.50–6.11
Shots on target
23%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.356.2810.63safe2.49–6.214.54–8.037.03–14.24safer2.00–6.704.08–8.496.07–15.19
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1817.2930.48safe9.26–17.1113.73–20.8622.99–37.96safer8.17–18.2012.77–21.8220.94–40.01
Shots in box
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7511.2619.00safe4.80–10.698.57–13.9413.38–24.63safer3.97–11.527.84–14.6711.81–26.19
Blocked shots
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.654.918.56safe1.77–5.533.26–6.565.02–12.09safer1.22–6.072.76–7.063.99–13.13
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.435.8610.29safe2.22–6.653.86–7.866.08–14.51safer1.64–7.223.33–8.404.97–15.61
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction45.0155.57safe38.22–51.8148.79–62.36safer36.55–53.4747.12–64.03
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction420502921safe352–487435–568788–1055safer334–505418–586752–1091
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction67.1676.16safe63.13–71.1871.84–80.49safer61.83–72.4870.53–81.80
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2811.6321.90safe7.44–13.118.68–14.5716.12–27.69safer6.68–13.877.93–15.3214.62–29.19
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.563.31safe0.59–2.910.46–2.651.06–5.56safer0.29–3.210.18–2.940.47–6.15
Yellow cards
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.623.30safe0.63–2.730.49–2.751.12–5.47safer0.36–2.990.20–3.040.56–6.03
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.402.957.35safe2.96–5.841.39–4.504.36–10.34safer2.58–6.220.97–4.933.54–11.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.31–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 2.53 1.67–3.38 1.45–3.61 | 3.80 1.98–5.63 1.50–6.11 | 18% 18% 65% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 6.28 4.54–8.03 4.08–8.49 | 10.63 7.03–14.24 6.07–15.19 | 23% 67% |
| Total shots | 13.18 9.26–17.11 8.17–18.20 | 17.29 13.73–20.86 12.77–21.82 | 30.48 22.99–37.96 20.94–40.01 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 7.75 4.80–10.69 3.97–11.52 | 11.26 8.57–13.94 7.84–14.67 | 19.00 13.38–24.63 11.81–26.19 | 18% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.53 1.22–6.07 | 4.91 3.26–6.56 2.76–7.06 | 8.56 5.02–12.09 3.99–13.13 | 27% 60% |
| Corners | 4.43 2.22–6.65 1.64–7.22 | 5.86 3.86–7.86 3.33–8.40 | 10.29 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.61 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 45.01 38.22–51.81 36.55–53.47 | 55.57 48.79–62.36 47.12–64.03 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 420 352–487 334–505 | 502 435–568 418–586 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.16 63.13–71.18 61.83–72.48 | 76.16 71.84–80.49 70.53–81.80 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.44–13.11 6.68–13.87 | 11.63 8.68–14.57 7.93–15.32 | 21.90 16.12–27.69 14.62–29.19 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.31 1.06–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.30 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.40 2.96–5.84 2.58–6.22 | 2.95 1.39–4.50 0.97–4.93 | 7.35 4.36–10.34 3.54–11.15 | 64% 13% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+