UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.013.24safe1.26–3.200.16–1.871.42–5.06safer1.01–3.450.00–2.100.94–5.54
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.524.1210.63safe4.65–8.382.37–5.867.03–14.24safer4.16–8.871.91–6.326.07–15.19
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7910.5427.33safe12.86–20.716.97–14.1019.84–34.81safer11.77–21.816.01–15.0617.79–36.86
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.966.9717.92safe8.01–13.904.29–9.6512.30–23.55safer7.18–14.733.55–10.3810.73–25.11
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.362.526.88safe2.47–6.240.87–4.173.34–10.41safer1.93–6.780.37–4.662.30–11.45
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.263.9810.24safe4.04–8.471.98–5.986.02–14.45safer3.47–9.041.45–6.514.92–15.56
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction57.6243.42safe50.83–64.4136.64–50.21safer49.16–66.0834.97–51.88
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction533391924safe466–600325–458790–1058safer447–618307–475755–1093
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction75.9071.91safe71.87–79.9367.58–76.23safer70.58–81.2266.27–77.54
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7011.6823.38safe8.86–14.538.74–14.6317.60–29.16safer8.10–15.297.99–15.3716.09–30.66
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.523.38safe0.71–3.030.42–2.611.13–5.64safer0.40–3.330.14–2.900.54–6.23
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.783.30safe0.47–2.570.65–2.911.12–5.48safer0.21–2.840.36–3.200.56–6.04
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.914.056.96safe1.48–4.352.49–5.603.97–9.95safer1.09–4.742.07–6.033.15–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.20 1.01–3.45 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.52 4.65–8.38 4.16–8.87 | 4.12 2.37–5.86 1.91–6.32 | 10.63 7.03–14.24 6.07–15.19 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.79 12.86–20.71 11.77–21.81 | 10.54 6.97–14.10 6.01–15.06 | 27.33 19.84–34.81 17.79–36.86 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.96 8.01–13.90 7.18–14.73 | 6.97 4.29–9.65 3.55–10.38 | 17.92 12.30–23.55 10.73–25.11 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.47–6.24 1.93–6.78 | 2.52 0.87–4.17 0.37–4.66 | 6.88 3.34–10.41 2.30–11.45 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 6.26 4.04–8.47 3.47–9.04 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.45–6.51 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.62 50.83–64.41 49.16–66.08 | 43.42 36.64–50.21 34.97–51.88 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 447–618 | 391 325–458 307–475 | 924 790–1058 755–1093 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.90 71.87–79.93 70.58–81.22 | 71.91 67.58–76.23 66.27–77.54 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 11.70 8.86–14.53 8.10–15.29 | 11.68 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.37 | 23.38 17.60–29.16 16.09–30.66 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.38 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.56–6.04 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 4.05 2.49–5.60 2.07–6.03 | 6.96 3.97–9.95 3.15–10.76 | 27% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+