Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.330.823.15safe1.36–3.300.00–1.671.33–4.97safer1.11–3.550.00–1.900.85–5.45
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.892.849.74safe5.03–8.751.10–4.596.13–13.34safer4.54–9.240.63–5.055.17–14.30
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.718.8326.54safe13.79–21.645.27–12.3919.06–34.03safer12.70–22.734.31–13.3517.01–36.08
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.005.9617.96safe9.06–14.943.28–8.6412.34–23.58safer8.23–15.772.54–9.3810.77–25.15
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.352.047.39safe3.47–7.230.39–3.693.86–10.93safer2.93–7.780.00–4.192.82–11.96
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.032.8410.87safe5.82–10.240.84–4.846.66–15.08safer5.24–10.820.31–5.375.55–16.19
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction68.6230.78safe61.83–75.4123.99–37.56safer60.16–77.0822.32–39.24
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction659262921safe592–727196–329788–1055safer574–745178–346752–1091
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction81.3864.71safe77.35–85.4160.38–69.03safer76.06–86.7059.08–70.34
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6111.6722.28safe7.77–13.448.73–14.6216.50–28.06safer7.01–14.207.98–15.3714.99–29.57
Offsides
43%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.583.36safe0.61–2.930.49–2.681.10–5.61safer0.31–3.230.20–2.970.51–6.20
Yellow cards
24%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.163.52safe0.31–2.401.03–3.291.34–5.70safer0.04–2.670.74–3.580.78–6.25
Red cards
83%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.150.19safe0.00–0.210.00–0.330.00–0.54safer0.00–0.360.00–0.470.00–0.82
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.386.43safe0.61–3.482.83–5.943.43–9.42safer0.22–3.872.40–6.362.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.33 1.36–3.30 1.11–3.55 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.89 5.03–8.75 4.54–9.24 | 2.84 1.10–4.59 0.63–5.05 | 9.74 6.13–13.34 5.17–14.30 | 88% |
| Total shots | 17.71 13.79–21.64 12.70–22.73 | 8.83 5.27–12.39 4.31–13.35 | 26.54 19.06–34.03 17.01–36.08 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.00 9.06–14.94 8.23–15.77 | 5.96 3.28–8.64 2.54–9.38 | 17.96 12.34–23.58 10.77–25.15 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.35 3.47–7.23 2.93–7.78 | 2.04 0.39–3.69 0.00–4.19 | 7.39 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.96 | 85% |
| Corners | 8.03 5.82–10.24 5.24–10.82 | 2.84 0.84–4.84 0.31–5.37 | 10.87 6.66–15.08 5.55–16.19 | 93% |
| Possession % | 68.62 61.83–75.41 60.16–77.08 | 30.78 23.99–37.56 22.32–39.24 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 659 592–727 574–745 | 262 196–329 178–346 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.38 77.35–85.41 76.06–86.70 | 64.71 60.38–69.03 59.08–70.34 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.44 7.01–14.20 | 11.67 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 22.28 16.50–28.06 14.99–29.57 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.97 | 3.36 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 43% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.31–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 24% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 4.38 2.83–5.94 2.40–6.36 | 6.43 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+