Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.930.773.71safe1.97–3.900.00–1.631.88–5.53safer1.71–4.150.00–1.861.40–6.01
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.482.6010.08safe5.61–9.340.86–4.346.47–13.68safer5.13–9.830.39–4.815.52–14.64
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.107.9227.03safe15.18–23.034.36–11.4919.54–34.51safer14.09–24.123.40–12.4517.49–36.56
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.104.8717.97safe10.16–16.052.19–7.5512.35–23.60safer9.33–16.881.45–8.2910.78–25.16
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.001.726.72safe3.12–6.880.06–3.373.18–10.25safer2.58–7.430.00–3.862.15–11.29
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.672.6210.29safe5.46–9.880.62–4.626.08–14.51safer4.88–10.460.09–5.164.97–15.61
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.7931.40safe63.00–76.5824.62–38.19safer61.33–78.2522.94–39.86
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction685303988safe618–752236–369854–1122safer600–771219–387819–1157
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction83.7967.60safe79.77–87.8263.27–71.92safer78.47–89.1261.96–73.23
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0811.1420.22safe6.24–11.928.19–14.0814.43–26.00safer5.48–12.677.44–14.8312.93–27.50
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.833.47safe0.48–2.800.74–2.931.22–5.73safer0.18–3.100.45–3.210.63–6.32
Yellow cards
24%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.903.12safe0.17–2.270.77–3.030.94–5.30safer0.00–2.530.48–3.320.38–5.85
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.004.776.77safe0.56–3.443.22–6.333.78–9.76safer0.18–3.822.79–6.752.97–10.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.93 1.97–3.90 1.71–4.15 | 0.77 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 3.71 1.88–5.53 1.40–6.01 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.48 5.61–9.34 5.13–9.83 | 2.60 0.86–4.34 0.39–4.81 | 10.08 6.47–13.68 5.52–14.64 | 92% |
| Total shots | 19.10 15.18–23.03 14.09–24.12 | 7.92 4.36–11.49 3.40–12.45 | 27.03 19.54–34.51 17.49–36.56 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.10 10.16–16.05 9.33–16.88 | 4.87 2.19–7.55 1.45–8.29 | 17.97 12.35–23.60 10.78–25.16 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.00 3.12–6.88 2.58–7.43 | 1.72 0.06–3.37 0.00–3.86 | 6.72 3.18–10.25 2.15–11.29 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.67 5.46–9.88 4.88–10.46 | 2.62 0.62–4.62 0.09–5.16 | 10.29 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.61 | 93% |
| Possession % | 69.79 63.00–76.58 61.33–78.25 | 31.40 24.62–38.19 22.94–39.86 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 685 618–752 600–771 | 303 236–369 219–387 | 988 854–1122 819–1157 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.79 79.77–87.82 78.47–89.12 | 67.60 63.27–71.92 61.96–73.23 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.08 6.24–11.92 5.48–12.67 | 11.14 8.19–14.08 7.44–14.83 | 20.22 14.43–26.00 12.93–27.50 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.83 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.21 | 3.47 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.27 0.00–2.53 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.12 0.94–5.30 0.38–5.85 | 24% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.00 0.56–3.44 0.18–3.82 | 4.77 3.22–6.33 2.79–6.75 | 6.77 3.78–9.76 2.97–10.58 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+