Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.033.35safe1.35–3.290.18–1.891.53–5.18safer1.10–3.540.00–2.121.05–5.66
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.573.019.58safe4.71–8.431.27–4.755.98–13.19safer4.22–8.920.80–5.225.02–14.14
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.538.9927.52safe14.60–22.455.43–12.5520.03–35.00safer13.51–23.554.47–13.5117.98–37.05
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.455.6217.07safe8.51–14.402.94–8.3011.45–22.70safer7.68–15.232.20–9.049.88–24.26
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.562.166.72safe2.68–6.450.51–3.813.19–10.26safer2.14–6.990.01–4.302.15–11.29
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.013.2910.30safe4.79–9.221.29–5.296.09–14.51safer4.22–9.790.76–5.834.98–15.62
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.4236.27safe56.63–70.2129.49–43.06safer54.96–71.8827.82–44.73
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction610359969safe542–677292–425835–1102safer524–695275–443799–1138
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction88.2977.96safe84.26–92.3273.63–82.28safer82.97–93.6172.32–83.59
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3411.6623.00safe8.50–14.188.71–14.6017.21–28.78safer7.75–14.937.96–15.3515.71–30.28
Offsides
34%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.943.61safe0.50–2.820.85–3.041.35–5.86safer0.20–3.130.56–3.320.76–6.45
Yellow cards
28%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.133.65safe0.47–2.571.00–3.251.47–5.83safer0.21–2.840.70–3.550.91–6.38
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.416.56safe0.71–3.582.86–5.973.57–9.55safer0.32–3.972.43–6.392.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.32 1.35–3.29 1.10–3.54 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.35 1.53–5.18 1.05–5.66 | 66% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.57 4.71–8.43 4.22–8.92 | 3.01 1.27–4.75 0.80–5.22 | 9.58 5.98–13.19 5.02–14.14 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.53 14.60–22.45 13.51–23.55 | 8.99 5.43–12.55 4.47–13.51 | 27.52 20.03–35.00 17.98–37.05 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.45 8.51–14.40 7.68–15.23 | 5.62 2.94–8.30 2.20–9.04 | 17.07 11.45–22.70 9.88–24.26 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.68–6.45 2.14–6.99 | 2.16 0.51–3.81 0.01–4.30 | 6.72 3.19–10.26 2.15–11.29 | 77% |
| Corners | 7.01 4.79–9.22 4.22–9.79 | 3.29 1.29–5.29 0.76–5.83 | 10.30 6.09–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 84% |
| Possession % | 63.42 56.63–70.21 54.96–71.88 | 36.27 29.49–43.06 27.82–44.73 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 610 542–677 524–695 | 359 292–425 275–443 | 969 835–1102 799–1138 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.29 84.26–92.32 82.97–93.61 | 77.96 73.63–82.28 72.32–83.59 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.34 8.50–14.18 7.75–14.93 | 11.66 8.71–14.60 7.96–15.35 | 23.00 17.21–28.78 15.71–30.28 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.13 | 1.94 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.32 | 3.61 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 34% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 2.13 1.00–3.25 0.70–3.55 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.91–6.38 | 28% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.71–3.58 0.32–3.97 | 4.41 2.86–5.97 2.43–6.39 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+