UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.920.813.73safe1.96–3.890.00–1.661.91–5.56safer1.71–4.140.00–1.891.43–6.04
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.052.729.76safe5.18–8.910.98–4.466.16–13.37safer4.69–9.400.51–4.935.20–14.32
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.807.9427.75safe15.88–23.734.38–11.5120.26–35.23safer14.79–24.823.42–12.4618.21–37.28
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.035.0218.06safe10.09–15.982.34–7.7012.43–23.68safer9.26–16.811.60–8.4410.87–25.25
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.251.696.95safe3.37–7.140.04–3.353.41–10.48safer2.83–7.680.00–3.842.38–11.52
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.343.0910.43safe5.13–9.551.09–5.096.22–14.65safer4.55–10.130.56–5.635.11–15.75
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction70.4530.94safe63.66–77.2424.16–37.73safer61.99–78.9122.49–39.40
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction670298967safe602–737231–364834–1101safer584–755214–382798–1137
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction90.9074.15safe86.87–94.9369.83–78.48safer85.58–96.2268.52–79.78
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9010.5020.40safe7.06–12.737.56–13.4514.62–26.18safer6.30–13.496.81–14.2013.11–27.69
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.723.41safe0.53–2.850.63–2.811.16–5.67safer0.23–3.150.34–3.100.57–6.25
Yellow cards
24%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.682.76safe0.03–2.120.55–2.810.58–4.94safer0.00–2.390.26–3.100.02–5.49
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.024.446.47safe0.59–3.462.89–6.003.48–9.46safer0.20–3.852.46–6.432.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.92 1.96–3.89 1.71–4.14 | 0.81 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 3.73 1.91–5.56 1.43–6.04 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 7.05 5.18–8.91 4.69–9.40 | 2.72 0.98–4.46 0.51–4.93 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.80 15.88–23.73 14.79–24.82 | 7.94 4.38–11.51 3.42–12.46 | 27.75 20.26–35.23 18.21–37.28 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.03 10.09–15.98 9.26–16.81 | 5.02 2.34–7.70 1.60–8.44 | 18.06 12.43–23.68 10.87–25.25 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.25 3.37–7.14 2.83–7.68 | 1.69 0.04–3.35 0.00–3.84 | 6.95 3.41–10.48 2.38–11.52 | 88% |
| Corners | 7.34 5.13–9.55 4.55–10.13 | 3.09 1.09–5.09 0.56–5.63 | 10.43 6.22–14.65 5.11–15.75 | 88% |
| Possession % | 70.45 63.66–77.24 61.99–78.91 | 30.94 24.16–37.73 22.49–39.40 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 670 602–737 584–755 | 298 231–364 214–382 | 967 834–1101 798–1137 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.90 86.87–94.93 85.58–96.22 | 74.15 69.83–78.48 68.52–79.78 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.90 7.06–12.73 6.30–13.49 | 10.50 7.56–13.45 6.81–14.20 | 20.40 14.62–26.18 13.11–27.69 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.72 0.63–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.41 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.25 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.08 0.03–2.12 0.00–2.39 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 2.76 0.58–4.94 0.02–5.49 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.02 0.59–3.46 0.20–3.85 | 4.44 2.89–6.00 2.46–6.43 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+