UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
28%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.270.972.25safe0.31–2.240.12–1.830.42–4.07safer0.06–2.490.00–2.050.00–4.55
Shots on target
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.753.157.89safe2.88–6.611.40–4.894.29–11.50safer2.39–7.100.94–5.353.33–12.45
Total shots
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction12.499.8722.36safe8.56–16.416.31–13.4314.87–29.85safer7.47–17.515.35–14.3912.82–31.90
Shots in box
63%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction7.715.9713.68safe4.77–10.663.29–8.658.06–19.30safer3.94–11.482.55–9.396.49–20.87
Blocked shots
53%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.485.67safe1.31–5.070.83–4.132.14–9.21safer0.77–5.620.33–4.621.10–10.24
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.233.819.04safe3.02–7.441.81–5.814.82–13.25safer2.44–8.021.27–6.343.72–14.36
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction48.7050.21safe41.91–55.4943.43–57.00safer40.24–57.1641.76–58.67
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction419419838safe351–486353–486704–971safer333–504335–503668–1007
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction75.4175.49safe71.38–79.4471.17–79.82safer70.09–80.7369.86–81.12
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6214.5827.21safe9.79–15.4611.64–17.5321.43–32.99safer9.03–16.2210.89–18.2819.92–34.49
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.593.66safe0.91–3.230.50–2.681.41–5.91safer0.61–3.530.21–2.970.82–6.50
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.083.88safe0.75–2.850.95–3.211.71–6.06safer0.48–3.120.66–3.501.15–6.62
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.085.52safe1.00–3.871.53–4.642.53–8.51safer0.61–4.261.10–5.061.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.31–2.24 0.06–2.49 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.05 | 2.25 0.42–4.07 0.00–4.55 | 43% 28% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.75 2.88–6.61 2.39–7.10 | 3.15 1.40–4.89 0.94–5.35 | 7.89 4.29–11.50 3.33–12.45 | 65% 22% |
| Total shots | 12.49 8.56–16.41 7.47–17.51 | 9.87 6.31–13.43 5.35–14.39 | 22.36 14.87–29.85 12.82–31.90 | 67% 25% |
| Shots in box | 7.71 4.77–10.66 3.94–11.48 | 5.97 3.29–8.65 2.55–9.39 | 13.68 8.06–19.30 6.49–20.87 | 63% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.07 0.77–5.62 | 2.48 0.83–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 5.67 2.14–9.21 1.10–10.24 | 53% 16% 30% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.44 2.44–8.02 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.27–6.34 | 9.04 4.82–13.25 3.72–14.36 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 48.70 41.91–55.49 40.24–57.16 | 50.21 43.43–57.00 41.76–58.67 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 419 351–486 333–504 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 838 704–971 668–1007 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.41 71.38–79.44 70.09–80.73 | 75.49 71.17–79.82 69.86–81.12 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 12.62 9.79–15.46 9.03–16.22 | 14.58 11.64–17.53 10.89–18.28 | 27.21 21.43–32.99 19.92–34.49 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.66 1.41–5.91 0.82–6.50 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.12 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.88 1.71–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.08 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 5.52 2.53–8.51 1.72–9.33 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.