UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 4·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.931.952.87safe0.00–1.891.09–2.801.05–4.70safer0.00–2.150.86–3.030.57–5.18
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.436.239.67safe1.57–5.304.49–7.986.06–13.27safer1.08–5.784.03–8.445.11–14.23
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3816.3527.73safe7.45–15.3012.78–19.9120.24–35.21safer6.36–16.3911.83–20.8718.19–37.26
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1510.3316.48safe3.20–9.097.65–13.0110.85–22.10safer2.37–9.926.91–13.759.29–23.67
Blocked shots
29%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.896.82safe1.05–4.812.23–5.543.28–10.35safer0.51–5.361.74–6.032.25–11.39
Corners
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.779.81safe1.83–6.253.77–7.775.60–14.03safer1.25–6.833.24–8.314.49–15.13
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.4265.40safe27.63–41.2158.62–72.19safer25.96–42.8856.95–73.86
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction337623960safe270–404557–689826–1093safer251–422539–707790–1129
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction73.5387.46safe69.50–77.5683.14–91.79safer68.21–78.8581.83–93.10
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0812.2824.36safe9.24–14.929.34–15.2318.58–30.14safer8.49–15.678.59–15.9817.08–31.65
Offsides
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.353.58safe1.07–3.390.26–2.441.32–5.83safer0.77–3.690.00–2.730.73–6.42
Yellow cards
40%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.693.45safe0.71–2.810.56–2.811.27–5.62safer0.45–3.080.27–3.110.71–6.18
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.722.516.23safe2.28–5.160.95–4.063.24–9.22safer1.90–5.540.53–4.492.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.93 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.15 | 1.95 1.09–2.80 0.86–3.03 | 2.87 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 17% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.43 1.57–5.30 1.08–5.78 | 6.23 4.49–7.98 4.03–8.44 | 9.67 6.06–13.27 5.11–14.23 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 11.38 7.45–15.30 6.36–16.39 | 16.35 12.78–19.91 11.83–20.87 | 27.73 20.24–35.21 18.19–37.26 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.15 3.20–9.09 2.37–9.92 | 10.33 7.65–13.01 6.91–13.75 | 16.48 10.85–22.10 9.29–23.67 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.93 1.05–4.81 0.51–5.36 | 3.89 2.23–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.25–11.39 | 29% 15% 57% |
| Corners | 4.04 1.83–6.25 1.25–6.83 | 5.77 3.77–7.77 3.24–8.31 | 9.81 5.60–14.03 4.49–15.13 | 24% 65% |
| Possession % | 34.42 27.63–41.21 25.96–42.88 | 65.40 58.62–72.19 56.95–73.86 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 337 270–404 251–422 | 623 557–689 539–707 | 960 826–1093 790–1129 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.53 69.50–77.56 68.21–78.85 | 87.46 83.14–91.79 81.83–93.10 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 12.08 9.24–14.92 8.49–15.67 | 12.28 9.34–15.23 8.59–15.98 | 24.36 18.58–30.14 17.08–31.65 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 1.35 0.26–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.58 1.32–5.83 0.73–6.42 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 1.69 0.56–2.81 0.27–3.11 | 3.45 1.27–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 40% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.72 2.28–5.16 1.90–5.54 | 2.51 0.95–4.06 0.53–4.49 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+