Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
23%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.760.772.52safe0.79–2.730.00–1.620.70–4.35safer0.54–2.980.00–1.850.22–4.82
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.432.337.76safe3.57–7.290.59–4.084.16–11.37safer3.08–7.780.13–4.543.20–12.32
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction16.108.1724.27safe12.17–20.024.61–11.7316.78–31.75safer11.08–21.113.65–12.6914.73–33.80
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction10.204.5014.70safe7.26–13.151.82–7.189.08–20.33safer6.43–13.981.08–7.927.51–21.89
Blocked shots
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.852.386.22safe1.96–5.730.72–4.032.69–9.76safer1.42–6.270.23–4.521.65–10.79
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.902.789.68safe4.69–9.110.78–4.785.47–13.90safer4.11–9.690.25–5.324.36–15.00
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.3038.81safe54.51–68.0932.03–45.60safer52.84–69.7630.36–47.27
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction613382994safe546–680315–448861–1128safer527–698298–466825–1164
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction78.9971.63safe74.96–83.0267.30–75.95safer73.67–84.3166.00–77.26
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5612.4524.01safe8.72–14.399.51–15.4018.23–29.79safer7.96–15.158.76–16.1416.72–31.29
Offsides
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.553.82safe1.10–3.420.46–2.651.56–6.07safer0.80–3.720.17–2.940.97–6.66
Yellow cards
39%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.713.43safe0.66–2.760.59–2.841.25–5.61safer0.40–3.030.29–3.140.69–6.16
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
15%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.833.735.56safe0.39–3.262.17–5.292.56–8.55safer0.00–3.651.75–5.711.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 2.52 0.70–4.35 0.22–4.82 | 61% 23% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.43 3.57–7.29 3.08–7.78 | 2.33 0.59–4.08 0.13–4.54 | 7.76 4.16–11.37 3.20–12.32 | 83% |
| Total shots | 16.10 12.17–20.02 11.08–21.11 | 8.17 4.61–11.73 3.65–12.69 | 24.27 16.78–31.75 14.73–33.80 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 10.20 7.26–13.15 6.43–13.98 | 4.50 1.82–7.18 1.08–7.92 | 14.70 9.08–20.33 7.51–21.89 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.96–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 2.38 0.72–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 6.22 2.69–9.76 1.65–10.79 | 65% 14% 21% |
| Corners | 6.90 4.69–9.11 4.11–9.69 | 2.78 0.78–4.78 0.25–5.32 | 9.68 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.00 | 88% |
| Possession % | 61.30 54.51–68.09 52.84–69.76 | 38.81 32.03–45.60 30.36–47.27 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 613 546–680 527–698 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 994 861–1128 825–1164 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.99 74.96–83.02 73.67–84.31 | 71.63 67.30–75.95 66.00–77.26 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.39 7.96–15.15 | 12.45 9.51–15.40 8.76–16.14 | 24.01 18.23–29.79 16.72–31.29 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.42 0.80–3.72 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.82 1.56–6.07 0.97–6.66 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.71 0.59–2.84 0.29–3.14 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.69–6.16 | 39% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.83 0.39–3.26 0.00–3.65 | 3.73 2.17–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 5.56 2.56–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 15% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+