UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.350.813.16safe1.38–3.320.00–1.671.34–4.99safer1.13–3.570.00–1.890.86–5.46
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.002.818.81safe4.14–7.861.07–4.555.20–12.41safer3.65–8.350.60–5.024.25–13.37
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction17.098.1225.21safe13.17–21.024.56–11.6917.73–32.70safer12.08–22.113.60–12.6515.68–34.75
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction10.964.6815.64safe8.02–13.902.00–7.3610.02–21.27safer7.19–14.731.27–8.108.45–22.83
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.206.28safe2.20–5.960.55–3.852.74–9.82safer1.65–6.500.06–4.351.71–10.85
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.592.929.51safe4.38–8.800.92–4.925.30–13.73safer3.80–9.380.39–5.464.19–14.83
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.7437.60safe55.95–69.5330.82–44.39safer54.28–71.2029.15–46.06
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction6393841023safe572–706317–450889–1156safer554–724300–468853–1192
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction80.0672.08safe76.04–84.0967.76–76.40safer74.74–85.3966.45–77.71
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9811.2822.26safe8.14–13.828.33–14.2216.48–28.04safer7.39–14.577.58–14.9714.97–29.55
Offsides
55%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.413.57safe1.00–3.320.31–2.501.31–5.82safer0.70–3.620.03–2.790.72–6.41
Yellow cards
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.683.25safe0.52–2.620.55–2.811.07–5.43safer0.25–2.890.26–3.100.52–5.99
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.103.815.90safe0.66–3.532.25–5.362.91–8.89safer0.27–3.921.83–5.792.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.35 1.38–3.32 1.13–3.57 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.89 | 3.16 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.46 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.00 4.14–7.86 3.65–8.35 | 2.81 1.07–4.55 0.60–5.02 | 8.81 5.20–12.41 4.25–13.37 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.09 13.17–21.02 12.08–22.11 | 8.12 4.56–11.69 3.60–12.65 | 25.21 17.73–32.70 15.68–34.75 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 10.96 8.02–13.90 7.19–14.73 | 4.68 2.00–7.36 1.27–8.10 | 15.64 10.02–21.27 8.45–22.83 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 2.20 0.55–3.85 0.06–4.35 | 6.28 2.74–9.82 1.71–10.85 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.59 4.38–8.80 3.80–9.38 | 2.92 0.92–4.92 0.39–5.46 | 9.51 5.30–13.73 4.19–14.83 | 85% |
| Possession % | 62.74 55.95–69.53 54.28–71.20 | 37.60 30.82–44.39 29.15–46.06 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 639 572–706 554–724 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 1023 889–1156 853–1192 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.06 76.04–84.09 74.74–85.39 | 72.08 67.76–76.40 66.45–77.71 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.82 7.39–14.57 | 11.28 8.33–14.22 7.58–14.97 | 22.26 16.48–28.04 14.97–29.55 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 1.41 0.31–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 55% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.89 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.25 1.07–5.43 0.52–5.99 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.66–3.53 0.27–3.92 | 3.81 2.25–5.36 1.83–5.79 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.10–9.71 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+