UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 1·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 1·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.890.922.81safe0.92–2.860.07–1.780.99–4.63safer0.67–3.110.00–2.010.51–5.11
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.323.198.52safe3.46–7.191.45–4.944.91–12.12safer2.97–7.680.99–5.403.96–13.08
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction14.239.0523.28safe10.31–18.165.49–12.6115.80–30.77safer9.22–19.254.53–13.5713.74–32.82
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.505.5515.05safe6.56–12.442.87–8.239.43–20.67safer5.73–13.272.13–8.977.86–22.24
Blocked shots
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction3.791.735.53safe1.91–5.670.08–3.391.99–9.06safer1.37–6.220.00–3.880.96–10.10
Corners
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.823.699.52safe3.61–8.041.69–5.695.31–13.73safer3.04–8.611.16–6.234.20–14.84
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction57.9341.16safe51.14–64.7234.38–47.95safer49.47–66.3932.70–49.62
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction467322788safe400–534255–388655–922safer381–552238–406619–958
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction79.6672.31safe75.63–83.6967.99–76.63safer74.34–84.9866.68–77.94
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4912.3025.79safe10.65–16.339.35–15.2420.00–31.57safer9.90–17.088.60–15.9918.50–33.07
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.773.74safe0.80–3.120.68–2.871.48–5.99safer0.50–3.420.39–3.150.89–6.58
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.264.08safe0.77–2.871.13–3.391.90–6.26safer0.50–3.130.84–3.681.34–6.81
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.445.89safe1.01–3.881.89–5.002.90–8.88safer0.62–4.271.46–5.432.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.46–7.19 2.97–7.68 | 3.19 1.45–4.94 0.99–5.40 | 8.52 4.91–12.12 3.96–13.08 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 14.23 10.31–18.16 9.22–19.25 | 9.05 5.49–12.61 4.53–13.57 | 23.28 15.80–30.77 13.74–32.82 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.56–12.44 5.73–13.27 | 5.55 2.87–8.23 2.13–8.97 | 15.05 9.43–20.67 7.86–22.24 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.37–6.22 | 1.73 0.08–3.39 0.00–3.88 | 5.53 1.99–9.06 0.96–10.10 | 75% 13% |
| Corners | 5.82 3.61–8.04 3.04–8.61 | 3.69 1.69–5.69 1.16–6.23 | 9.52 5.31–13.73 4.20–14.84 | 70% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.93 51.14–64.72 49.47–66.39 | 41.16 34.38–47.95 32.70–49.62 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 467 400–534 381–552 | 322 255–388 238–406 | 788 655–922 619–958 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.66 75.63–83.69 74.34–84.98 | 72.31 67.99–76.63 66.68–77.94 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 13.49 10.65–16.33 9.90–17.08 | 12.30 9.35–15.24 8.60–15.99 | 25.79 20.00–31.57 18.50–33.07 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.77 0.68–2.87 0.39–3.15 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 4.08 1.90–6.26 1.34–6.81 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.01–3.88 0.62–4.27 | 3.44 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.43 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+