Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.452.98safe0.57–2.510.59–2.301.16–4.81safer0.32–2.760.36–2.530.68–5.29
Shots on target
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.849.65safe2.94–6.673.10–6.586.04–13.25safer2.45–7.162.63–7.055.08–14.21
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3012.7726.07safe9.37–17.229.21–16.3418.58–33.56safer8.28–18.318.25–17.3016.53–35.61
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.758.9017.65safe5.81–11.696.22–11.5812.02–23.27safer4.98–12.525.48–12.3210.46–24.84
Blocked shots
53%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.682.956.64safe1.80–5.561.30–4.613.10–10.17safer1.26–6.110.81–5.102.06–11.21
Corners
40%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.095.4010.50safe2.88–7.313.40–7.406.28–14.71safer2.31–7.882.87–7.945.18–15.82
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.9549.76safe43.16–56.7442.98–56.55safer41.49–58.4141.31–58.22
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction426418844safe359–494351–484710–978safer341–512334–502675–1013
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction74.4874.71safe70.45–78.5170.39–79.04safer69.16–79.8069.08–80.34
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6012.3324.93safe9.77–15.449.38–15.2719.15–30.71safer9.01–16.208.64–16.0217.64–32.22
Offsides
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.853.43safe0.42–2.740.75–2.941.18–5.68safer0.12–3.050.47–3.230.59–6.27
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.993.68safe0.65–2.740.86–3.121.51–5.86safer0.38–3.010.57–3.410.95–6.42
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.026.31safe1.86–4.731.46–4.573.32–9.30safer1.47–5.121.04–5.002.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.98 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.94–6.67 2.45–7.16 | 4.84 3.10–6.58 2.63–7.05 | 9.65 6.04–13.25 5.08–14.21 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.37–17.22 8.28–18.31 | 12.77 9.21–16.34 8.25–17.30 | 26.07 18.58–33.56 16.53–35.61 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 8.75 5.81–11.69 4.98–12.52 | 8.90 6.22–11.58 5.48–12.32 | 17.65 12.02–23.27 10.46–24.84 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.56 1.26–6.11 | 2.95 1.30–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 6.64 3.10–10.17 2.06–11.21 | 53% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 5.40 3.40–7.40 2.87–7.94 | 10.50 6.28–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 40% 48% |
| Possession % | 49.95 43.16–56.74 41.49–58.41 | 49.76 42.98–56.55 41.31–58.22 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 426 359–494 341–512 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 844 710–978 675–1013 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.48 70.45–78.51 69.16–79.80 | 74.71 70.39–79.04 69.08–80.34 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 12.60 9.77–15.44 9.01–16.20 | 12.33 9.38–15.27 8.64–16.02 | 24.93 19.15–30.71 17.64–32.22 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.05 | 1.85 0.75–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.65–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 3.02 1.46–4.57 1.04–5.00 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.51–10.12 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.