Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.062.94safe0.91–2.840.21–1.921.11–4.76safer0.66–3.090.00–2.140.63–5.24
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.963.839.79safe4.10–7.832.09–5.576.19–13.40safer3.61–8.321.62–6.045.23–14.35
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.519.7327.23safe13.58–21.436.16–13.2919.75–34.72safer12.49–22.525.21–14.2517.70–36.77
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.306.7018.00safe8.36–14.244.02–9.3812.38–23.63safer7.53–15.073.28–10.1210.81–25.19
Blocked shots
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.422.306.72safe2.53–6.300.65–3.963.18–10.25safer1.99–6.840.16–4.452.15–11.29
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.513.7410.25safe4.30–8.731.74–5.746.04–14.47safer3.73–9.301.21–6.274.93–15.58
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.6942.61safe49.90–63.4835.82–49.39safer48.23–65.1534.15–51.06
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5724331005safe505–639366–499871–1139safer487–658349–517836–1174
Pass accuracy %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction78.8472.69safe74.81–82.8768.36–77.01safer73.52–84.1667.05–78.32
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7110.7621.48safe7.88–13.557.82–13.7115.69–27.26safer7.12–14.317.07–14.4514.19–28.76
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.773.41safe0.48–2.800.67–2.861.16–5.66safer0.18–3.100.39–3.150.57–6.25
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.903.37safe0.43–2.530.77–3.021.20–5.55safer0.16–2.790.48–3.320.64–6.11
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.846.41safe1.14–4.012.28–5.393.42–9.40safer0.75–4.401.86–5.822.61–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.91–2.84 0.66–3.09 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.14 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 56% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.96 4.10–7.83 3.61–8.32 | 3.83 2.09–5.57 1.62–6.04 | 9.79 6.19–13.40 5.23–14.35 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.51 13.58–21.43 12.49–22.52 | 9.73 6.16–13.29 5.21–14.25 | 27.23 19.75–34.72 17.70–36.77 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.30 8.36–14.24 7.53–15.07 | 6.70 4.02–9.38 3.28–10.12 | 18.00 12.38–23.63 10.81–25.19 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 2.30 0.65–3.96 0.16–4.45 | 6.72 3.18–10.25 2.15–11.29 | 73% 15% |
| Corners | 6.51 4.30–8.73 3.73–9.30 | 3.74 1.74–5.74 1.21–6.27 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.58 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 56.69 49.90–63.48 48.23–65.15 | 42.61 35.82–49.39 34.15–51.06 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 572 505–639 487–658 | 433 366–499 349–517 | 1005 871–1139 836–1174 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.84 74.81–82.87 73.52–84.16 | 72.69 68.36–77.01 67.05–78.32 | — | 77% 20% |
| Fouls | 10.71 7.88–13.55 7.12–14.31 | 10.76 7.82–13.71 7.07–14.45 | 21.48 15.69–27.26 14.19–28.76 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.41 1.16–5.66 0.57–6.25 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 1.90 0.77–3.02 0.48–3.32 | 3.37 1.20–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 3.84 2.28–5.39 1.86–5.82 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.21 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.