UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 1·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 1·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.760.663.42safe1.79–3.730.00–1.521.60–5.24safer1.54–3.980.00–1.751.12–5.72
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.542.5010.05safe5.68–9.410.76–4.256.44–13.65safer5.19–9.890.29–4.715.48–14.61
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.447.1727.61safe16.52–24.373.61–10.7320.13–35.10safer15.43–25.462.65–11.6918.08–37.15
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.584.3217.90safe10.64–16.521.64–7.0012.27–23.52safer9.81–17.350.90–7.7310.71–25.09
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.111.406.51safe3.23–7.000.00–3.052.97–10.05safer2.69–7.540.00–3.541.94–11.08
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.922.8010.71safe5.70–10.130.80–4.806.50–14.93safer5.13–10.700.26–5.335.39–16.03
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction71.9529.68safe65.16–78.7522.89–36.46safer63.49–80.4121.22–38.13
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction661274935safe593–728208–341801–1069safer575–746191–358766–1104
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction84.3267.50safe80.29–88.3563.18–71.83safer78.99–89.6461.87–73.14
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.219.9221.13safe8.37–14.046.98–12.8715.34–26.91safer7.61–14.806.23–13.6113.84–28.41
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.663.52safe0.69–3.010.57–2.761.26–5.77safer0.39–3.320.28–3.040.67–6.36
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.113.46safe0.29–2.390.99–3.241.28–5.64safer0.03–2.660.69–3.540.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.120.16safe0.00–0.200.00–0.310.00–0.51safer0.00–0.350.00–0.440.00–0.79
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction1.904.726.62safe0.46–3.343.16–6.273.63–9.61safer0.08–3.722.74–6.702.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.76 1.79–3.73 1.54–3.98 | 0.66 0.00–1.52 0.00–1.75 | 3.42 1.60–5.24 1.12–5.72 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.54 5.68–9.41 5.19–9.89 | 2.50 0.76–4.25 0.29–4.71 | 10.05 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.61 | 93% |
| Total shots | 20.44 16.52–24.37 15.43–25.46 | 7.17 3.61–10.73 2.65–11.69 | 27.61 20.13–35.10 18.08–37.15 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.58 10.64–16.52 9.81–17.35 | 4.32 1.64–7.00 0.90–7.73 | 17.90 12.27–23.52 10.71–25.09 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.11 3.23–7.00 2.69–7.54 | 1.40 0.00–3.05 0.00–3.54 | 6.51 2.97–10.05 1.94–11.08 | 90% |
| Corners | 7.92 5.70–10.13 5.13–10.70 | 2.80 0.80–4.80 0.26–5.33 | 10.71 6.50–14.93 5.39–16.03 | 93% |
| Possession % | 71.95 65.16–78.75 63.49–80.41 | 29.68 22.89–36.46 21.22–38.13 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 661 593–728 575–746 | 274 208–341 191–358 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.32 80.29–88.35 78.99–89.64 | 67.50 63.18–71.83 61.87–73.14 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.21 8.37–14.04 7.61–14.80 | 9.92 6.98–12.87 6.23–13.61 | 21.13 15.34–26.91 13.84–28.41 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.32 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.04 | 3.52 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 2.11 0.99–3.24 0.69–3.54 | 3.46 1.28–5.64 0.72–6.19 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.90 0.46–3.34 0.08–3.72 | 4.72 3.16–6.27 2.74–6.70 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.