UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.672.94safe0.31–2.240.81–2.521.12–4.77safer0.06–2.500.58–2.750.64–5.25
Shots on target
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.265.7710.03safe2.39–6.124.03–7.526.42–13.63safer1.90–6.613.57–7.985.47–14.59
Total shots
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3115.3527.66safe8.39–16.2411.78–18.9120.17–35.15safer7.30–17.3310.82–19.8718.12–37.20
Shots in box
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8710.3118.19safe4.93–10.827.63–12.9912.56–23.81safer4.10–11.646.89–13.7311.00–25.38
Blocked shots
32%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.706.73safe1.15–4.922.04–5.353.19–10.27safer0.61–5.461.55–5.842.16–11.30
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.395.149.52safe2.17–6.603.14–7.145.31–13.74safer1.60–7.182.60–7.674.20–14.84
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.5852.33safe40.79–54.3745.54–59.11safer39.12–56.0443.87–60.78
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction424460885safe357–491394–527751–1018safer339–510376–544715–1054
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction73.1175.80safe69.08–77.1471.47–80.12safer67.79–78.4370.16–81.43
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5413.1623.71safe7.71–13.3810.22–16.1117.92–29.49safer6.95–14.149.47–16.8616.42–30.99
Offsides
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.753.40safe0.50–2.820.65–2.841.15–5.66safer0.19–3.120.37–3.130.56–6.25
Yellow cards
35%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.304.31safe0.96–3.061.18–3.432.14–6.49safer0.69–3.330.88–3.721.58–7.05
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.057.04safe2.56–5.431.49–4.604.05–10.03safer2.17–5.821.06–5.033.23–10.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.24 0.06–2.50 | 1.67 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.75 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.39–6.12 1.90–6.61 | 5.77 4.03–7.52 3.57–7.98 | 10.03 6.42–13.63 5.47–14.59 | 26% 63% |
| Total shots | 12.31 8.39–16.24 7.30–17.33 | 15.35 11.78–18.91 10.82–19.87 | 27.66 20.17–35.15 18.12–37.20 | 25% 68% |
| Shots in box | 7.87 4.93–10.82 4.10–11.64 | 10.31 7.63–12.99 6.89–13.73 | 18.19 12.56–23.81 11.00–25.38 | 24% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.03 1.15–4.92 0.61–5.46 | 3.70 2.04–5.35 1.55–5.84 | 6.73 3.19–10.27 2.16–11.30 | 32% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.39 2.17–6.60 1.60–7.18 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.60–7.67 | 9.52 5.31–13.74 4.20–14.84 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 47.58 40.79–54.37 39.12–56.04 | 52.33 45.54–59.11 43.87–60.78 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 424 357–491 339–510 | 460 394–527 376–544 | 885 751–1018 715–1054 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.11 69.08–77.14 67.79–78.43 | 75.80 71.47–80.12 70.16–81.43 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.54 7.71–13.38 6.95–14.14 | 13.16 10.22–16.11 9.47–16.86 | 23.71 17.92–29.49 16.42–30.99 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.19–3.12 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.40 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.33 | 2.30 1.18–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.31 2.14–6.49 1.58–7.05 | 35% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.99 2.56–5.43 2.17–5.82 | 3.05 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.03 | 7.04 4.05–10.03 3.23–10.84 | 57% 14% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.