UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 3·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.110.842.95safe1.14–3.080.00–1.701.13–4.78safer0.89–3.330.00–1.930.65–5.25
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.009.31safe4.44–8.161.26–4.755.70–12.91safer3.95–8.650.80–5.214.74–13.87
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.278.4526.72safe14.34–22.194.89–12.0119.23–34.20safer13.25–23.283.93–12.9717.18–36.25
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.515.5117.02safe8.56–14.452.83–8.1911.40–22.64safer7.73–15.282.09–8.939.83–24.21
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.832.177.00safe2.95–6.720.52–3.823.47–10.54safer2.41–7.260.03–4.322.43–11.57
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.593.239.82safe4.38–8.801.23–5.235.61–14.04safer3.80–9.380.70–5.774.50–15.14
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.2440.34safe53.45–67.0333.56–47.12safer51.78–68.7031.88–48.80
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction547370917safe480–614303–436783–1051safer462–633286–454748–1086
Pass accuracy %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction74.9372.35safe70.90–78.9668.03–76.68safer69.61–80.2666.72–77.98
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3411.3923.73safe9.50–15.188.44–14.3317.95–29.51safer8.75–15.947.69–15.0816.44–31.01
Offsides
52%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.433.49safe0.90–3.230.33–2.521.24–5.74safer0.60–3.530.04–2.810.65–6.33
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.173.57safe0.35–2.451.04–3.301.39–5.74safer0.08–2.720.75–3.590.83–6.30
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.655.77safe0.68–3.562.10–5.212.78–8.77safer0.30–3.941.67–5.631.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.08 0.89–3.33 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 2.95 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.25 | 67% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.30 4.44–8.16 3.95–8.65 | 3.00 1.26–4.75 0.80–5.21 | 9.31 5.70–12.91 4.74–13.87 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.27 14.34–22.19 13.25–23.28 | 8.45 4.89–12.01 3.93–12.97 | 26.72 19.23–34.20 17.18–36.25 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.51 8.56–14.45 7.73–15.28 | 5.51 2.83–8.19 2.09–8.93 | 17.02 11.40–22.64 9.83–24.21 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 2.17 0.52–3.82 0.03–4.32 | 7.00 3.47–10.54 2.43–11.57 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.59 4.38–8.80 3.80–9.38 | 3.23 1.23–5.23 0.70–5.77 | 9.82 5.61–14.04 4.50–15.14 | 82% |
| Possession % | 60.24 53.45–67.03 51.78–68.70 | 40.34 33.56–47.12 31.88–48.80 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 547 480–614 462–633 | 370 303–436 286–454 | 917 783–1051 748–1086 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.93 70.90–78.96 69.61–80.26 | 72.35 68.03–76.68 66.72–77.98 | — | 61% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.34 9.50–15.18 8.75–15.94 | 11.39 8.44–14.33 7.69–15.08 | 23.73 17.95–29.51 16.44–31.01 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.90–3.23 0.60–3.53 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.81 | 3.49 1.24–5.74 0.65–6.33 | 52% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.08–2.72 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.57 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.68–3.56 0.30–3.94 | 3.65 2.10–5.21 1.67–5.63 | 5.77 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 19% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.