Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.082.70safe0.65–2.580.23–1.940.87–4.52safer0.39–2.830.00–2.170.39–5.00
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.809.24safe3.58–7.312.06–5.545.64–12.85safer3.09–7.801.59–6.014.68–13.80
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6510.9826.63safe11.73–19.587.42–14.5519.15–34.12safer10.64–20.676.46–15.5017.10–36.17
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.746.7917.53safe7.80–13.694.11–9.4711.91–23.16safer6.97–14.523.37–10.2110.34–24.72
Blocked shots
61%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.057.38safe2.46–6.221.39–4.703.85–10.92safer1.91–6.760.90–5.192.81–11.96
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.104.1010.19safe3.88–8.312.10–6.105.98–14.41safer3.31–8.881.56–6.634.87–15.51
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction52.2448.60safe45.45–59.0441.82–55.39safer43.78–60.7040.15–57.06
Passes
62%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction490452942safe423–557385–518808–1076safer405–575368–536773–1111
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction66.7370.88safe62.70–70.7666.55–75.20safer61.41–72.0565.24–76.51
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2811.5123.79safe9.44–15.128.57–14.4618.01–29.57safer8.69–15.877.82–15.2116.51–31.08
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.312.98safe0.50–2.820.22–2.410.72–5.23safer0.20–3.120.00–2.700.13–5.82
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.013.68safe0.62–2.720.88–3.131.50–5.86safer0.36–2.990.59–3.430.94–6.41
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.696.42safe1.30–4.172.13–5.253.43–9.42safer0.91–4.561.71–5.672.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.65–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.70 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 50% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 3.80 2.06–5.54 1.59–6.01 | 9.24 5.64–12.85 4.68–13.80 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.65 11.73–19.58 10.64–20.67 | 10.98 7.42–14.55 6.46–15.50 | 26.63 19.15–34.12 17.10–36.17 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.74 7.80–13.69 6.97–14.52 | 6.79 4.11–9.47 3.37–10.21 | 17.53 11.91–23.16 10.34–24.72 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 3.05 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.38 3.85–10.92 2.81–11.96 | 61% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.88–8.31 3.31–8.88 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.56–6.63 | 10.19 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.51 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 52.24 45.45–59.04 43.78–60.70 | 48.60 41.82–55.39 40.15–57.06 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 490 423–557 405–575 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 942 808–1076 773–1111 | 62% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.73 62.70–70.76 61.41–72.05 | 70.88 66.55–75.20 65.24–76.51 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 12.28 9.44–15.12 8.69–15.87 | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.21 | 23.79 18.01–29.57 16.51–31.08 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.31 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 2.98 0.72–5.23 0.13–5.82 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.01 0.88–3.13 0.59–3.43 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.69 2.13–5.25 1.71–5.67 | 6.42 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.