Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.901.852.75safe0.00–1.871.00–2.710.93–4.57safer0.00–2.120.77–2.930.45–5.05
Shots on target
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.285.568.85safe1.42–5.143.82–7.315.24–12.45safer0.93–5.633.36–7.774.28–13.41
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6516.3528.00safe7.72–15.5712.79–19.9120.51–35.48safer6.63–16.6611.83–20.8718.46–37.53
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5510.8017.35safe3.61–9.498.12–13.4811.72–22.97safer2.78–10.327.38–14.2110.16–24.54
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.144.707.83safe1.25–5.023.04–6.354.30–11.37safer0.71–5.562.55–6.843.26–12.40
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.105.629.72safe1.89–6.313.62–7.625.50–13.93safer1.31–6.893.08–8.154.39–15.04
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction31.8068.18safe25.01–38.5961.39–74.96safer23.34–40.2659.72–76.63
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction280614894safe213–347547–680760–1027safer195–365530–698724–1063
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction60.1581.69safe56.12–64.1877.36–86.01safer54.83–65.4776.06–87.32
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6512.5124.16safe8.81–14.499.57–15.4618.38–29.95safer8.06–15.248.82–16.2116.88–31.45
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.633.49safe0.70–3.020.54–2.721.24–5.75safer0.40–3.320.25–3.010.65–6.34
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.004.11safe1.06–3.160.87–3.131.93–6.29safer0.79–3.420.58–3.421.37–6.84
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.552.375.91safe2.11–4.980.81–3.922.92–8.90safer1.72–5.370.39–4.352.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 0.00–1.87 0.00–2.12 | 1.85 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.93 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 18% 22% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.28 1.42–5.14 0.93–5.63 | 5.56 3.82–7.31 3.36–7.77 | 8.85 5.24–12.45 4.28–13.41 | 17% 73% |
| Total shots | 11.65 7.72–15.57 6.63–16.66 | 16.35 12.79–19.91 11.83–20.87 | 28.00 20.51–35.48 18.46–37.53 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.55 3.61–9.49 2.78–10.32 | 10.80 8.12–13.48 7.38–14.21 | 17.35 11.72–22.97 10.16–24.54 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.25–5.02 0.71–5.56 | 4.70 3.04–6.35 2.55–6.84 | 7.83 4.30–11.37 3.26–12.40 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 4.10 1.89–6.31 1.31–6.89 | 5.62 3.62–7.62 3.08–8.15 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.04 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 31.80 25.01–38.59 23.34–40.26 | 68.18 61.39–74.96 59.72–76.63 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 280 213–347 195–365 | 614 547–680 530–698 | 894 760–1027 724–1063 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.15 56.12–64.18 54.83–65.47 | 81.69 77.36–86.01 76.06–87.32 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 11.65 8.81–14.49 8.06–15.24 | 12.51 9.57–15.46 8.82–16.21 | 24.16 18.38–29.95 16.88–31.45 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.49 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.79–3.42 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 4.11 1.93–6.29 1.37–6.84 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.11–4.98 1.72–5.37 | 2.37 0.81–3.92 0.39–4.35 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.11–9.72 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+