UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.023.06safe1.07–3.000.17–1.871.23–4.88safer0.82–3.250.00–2.100.75–5.36
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.933.089.01safe4.07–7.791.34–4.825.41–12.62safer3.58–8.280.87–5.294.45–13.57
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.099.0525.13safe12.16–20.015.48–12.6117.65–32.62safer11.07–21.104.52–13.5715.60–34.67
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.225.4015.62safe7.27–13.162.72–8.0910.00–21.24safer6.44–13.991.99–8.828.43–22.81
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.401.916.31safe2.52–6.280.26–3.562.78–9.85safer1.97–6.830.00–4.061.74–10.88
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.163.529.68safe3.95–8.381.51–5.525.47–13.89safer3.38–8.950.98–6.054.36–15.00
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction60.4140.89safe53.62–67.2034.10–47.67safer51.95–68.8732.43–49.34
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction540360901safe473–608294–427767–1034safer455–626276–444731–1070
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction75.9470.71safe71.91–79.9766.39–75.04safer70.62–81.2665.08–76.35
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0712.4424.52safe9.24–14.919.50–15.3918.73–30.30safer8.48–15.678.75–16.1417.23–31.80
Offsides
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.272.95safe0.52–2.840.17–2.360.70–5.20safer0.22–3.140.00–2.650.11–5.79
Yellow cards
26%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.183.65safe0.42–2.521.05–3.311.48–5.83safer0.16–2.790.76–3.600.92–6.39
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.174.116.28safe0.74–3.612.55–5.673.29–9.28safer0.35–4.002.13–6.092.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.00 0.82–3.25 | 1.02 0.17–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 3.06 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.93 4.07–7.79 3.58–8.28 | 3.08 1.34–4.82 0.87–5.29 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.57 | 78% |
| Total shots | 16.09 12.16–20.01 11.07–21.10 | 9.05 5.48–12.61 4.52–13.57 | 25.13 17.65–32.62 15.60–34.67 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.27–13.16 6.44–13.99 | 5.40 2.72–8.09 1.99–8.82 | 15.62 10.00–21.24 8.43–22.81 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.52–6.28 1.97–6.83 | 1.91 0.26–3.56 0.00–4.06 | 6.31 2.78–9.85 1.74–10.88 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.95 | 3.52 1.51–5.52 0.98–6.05 | 9.68 5.47–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 60.41 53.62–67.20 51.95–68.87 | 40.89 34.10–47.67 32.43–49.34 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 540 473–608 455–626 | 360 294–427 276–444 | 901 767–1034 731–1070 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.94 71.91–79.97 70.62–81.26 | 70.71 66.39–75.04 65.08–76.35 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.24–14.91 8.48–15.67 | 12.44 9.50–15.39 8.75–16.14 | 24.52 18.73–30.30 17.23–31.80 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.27 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 2.95 0.70–5.20 0.11–5.79 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.65 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 26% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 4.11 2.55–5.67 2.13–6.09 | 6.28 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.