UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.673.05safe0.41–2.350.81–2.521.23–4.87safer0.16–2.600.59–2.750.75–5.35
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.455.309.75safe2.59–6.313.56–7.056.15–13.36safer2.10–6.803.10–7.515.19–14.31
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1814.2026.38safe8.25–16.1010.64–17.7618.89–33.87safer7.16–17.209.68–18.7216.84–35.92
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction8.129.8017.92safe5.18–11.067.12–12.4812.30–23.54safer4.35–11.896.38–13.2210.73–25.11
Blocked shots
35%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.556.60safe1.17–4.931.89–5.203.06–10.13safer0.62–5.481.40–5.692.03–11.17
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.1910.06safe2.66–7.093.19–7.195.85–14.28safer2.09–7.662.65–7.724.74–15.38
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction45.6753.55safe38.88–52.4646.77–60.34safer37.21–54.1345.10–62.01
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction398468865safe330–465401–534732–999safer312–483384–552696–1035
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction70.8075.66safe66.77–74.8371.33–79.98safer65.48–76.1270.02–81.29
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6611.9925.65safe10.82–16.509.04–14.9319.87–31.43safer10.07–17.258.30–15.6818.36–32.94
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.793.63safe0.67–2.990.70–2.891.37–5.88safer0.37–3.290.41–3.180.78–6.47
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.893.83safe0.89–2.990.76–3.021.65–6.01safer0.62–3.250.47–3.311.10–6.57
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.262.866.13safe1.83–4.701.31–4.423.14–9.12safer1.44–5.090.88–4.852.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.67 0.81–2.52 0.59–2.75 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.59–6.31 2.10–6.80 | 5.30 3.56–7.05 3.10–7.51 | 9.75 6.15–13.36 5.19–14.31 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.18 8.25–16.10 7.16–17.20 | 14.20 10.64–17.76 9.68–18.72 | 26.38 18.89–33.87 16.84–35.92 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 8.12 5.18–11.06 4.35–11.89 | 9.80 7.12–12.48 6.38–13.22 | 17.92 12.30–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.05 1.17–4.93 0.62–5.48 | 3.55 1.89–5.20 1.40–5.69 | 6.60 3.06–10.13 2.03–11.17 | 35% 16% 50% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.65–7.72 | 10.06 5.85–14.28 4.74–15.38 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 45.67 38.88–52.46 37.21–54.13 | 53.55 46.77–60.34 45.10–62.01 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 398 330–465 312–483 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.80 66.77–74.83 65.48–76.12 | 75.66 71.33–79.98 70.02–81.29 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 13.66 10.82–16.50 10.07–17.25 | 11.99 9.04–14.93 8.30–15.68 | 25.65 19.87–31.43 18.36–32.94 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.18 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.85 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+