UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 4·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.842.90safe0.10–2.030.98–2.691.08–4.73safer0.00–2.280.76–2.920.60–5.21
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.616.289.89safe1.75–5.474.54–8.036.29–13.50safer1.26–5.964.08–8.495.33–14.45
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4316.3725.80safe5.50–13.3512.81–19.9418.32–33.29safer4.41–14.4411.85–20.9016.27–35.34
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3111.3617.67safe3.36–9.258.68–14.0412.05–23.29safer2.53–10.087.94–14.7810.48–24.86
Blocked shots
21%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.946.35safe0.53–4.292.28–5.592.81–9.88safer0.00–4.841.79–6.081.78–10.92
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.145.349.48safe1.93–6.353.34–7.345.27–13.70safer1.35–6.932.81–7.884.16–14.80
Possession %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction42.0957.62safe35.30–48.8850.83–64.40safer33.63–50.5549.16–66.07
Passes
14%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction375501876safe308–442435–568742–1009safer289–460417–585706–1045
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction68.2874.82safe64.25–72.3170.50–79.15safer62.96–73.6069.19–80.46
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3712.0324.40safe9.53–15.219.08–14.9718.62–30.18safer8.77–15.968.34–15.7217.11–31.68
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.033.85safe0.65–2.980.94–3.131.59–6.10safer0.35–3.280.65–3.411.00–6.69
Yellow cards
41%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.994.07safe1.03–3.130.86–3.121.89–6.25safer0.76–3.390.57–3.411.33–6.80
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.472.657.12safe3.04–5.911.09–4.214.13–10.12safer2.65–6.300.67–4.633.32–10.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.76–2.92 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.61 1.75–5.47 1.26–5.96 | 6.28 4.54–8.03 4.08–8.49 | 9.89 6.29–13.50 5.33–14.45 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 9.43 5.50–13.35 4.41–14.44 | 16.37 12.81–19.94 11.85–20.90 | 25.80 18.32–33.29 16.27–35.34 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.31 3.36–9.25 2.53–10.08 | 11.36 8.68–14.04 7.94–14.78 | 17.67 12.05–23.29 10.48–24.86 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.41 0.53–4.29 0.00–4.84 | 3.94 2.28–5.59 1.79–6.08 | 6.35 2.81–9.88 1.78–10.92 | 21% 14% 66% |
| Corners | 4.14 1.93–6.35 1.35–6.93 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.81–7.88 | 9.48 5.27–13.70 4.16–14.80 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 42.09 35.30–48.88 33.63–50.55 | 57.62 50.83–64.40 49.16–66.07 | — | 16% 80% |
| Passes | 375 308–442 289–460 | 501 435–568 417–585 | 876 742–1009 706–1045 | 14% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.28 64.25–72.31 62.96–73.60 | 74.82 70.50–79.15 69.19–80.46 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 12.37 9.53–15.21 8.77–15.96 | 12.03 9.08–14.97 8.34–15.72 | 24.40 18.62–30.18 17.11–31.68 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.98 0.35–3.28 | 2.03 0.94–3.13 0.65–3.41 | 3.85 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.80 | 41% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.47 3.04–5.91 2.65–6.30 | 2.65 1.09–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 7.12 4.13–10.12 3.32–10.93 | 69% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.