UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
22%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.901.922.82safe0.00–1.861.07–2.781.00–4.64safer0.00–2.120.84–3.000.52–5.12
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.265.779.03safe1.40–5.134.03–7.515.43–12.64safer0.91–5.623.56–7.984.47–13.59
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3515.0225.37safe6.42–14.2711.46–18.5917.88–32.86safer5.33–15.3610.50–19.5515.83–34.91
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.6210.4416.06safe2.68–8.567.76–13.1210.43–21.68safer1.85–9.397.02–13.868.87–23.25
Blocked shots
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.174.186.34safe0.28–4.052.52–5.832.81–9.88safer0.00–4.592.03–6.321.77–10.91
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.995.859.84safe1.77–6.203.85–7.855.63–14.05safer1.20–6.773.32–8.394.52–15.16
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction41.7357.85safe34.94–48.5251.07–64.64safer33.27–50.1949.39–66.31
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction362499861safe294–429433–566727–995safer276–447415–583692–1030
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction68.1476.83safe64.11–72.1772.50–81.15safer62.82–73.4671.19–82.46
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8711.5422.41safe8.03–13.718.60–14.4816.63–28.19safer7.28–14.467.85–15.2315.12–29.70
Offsides
51%
19%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.551.974.53safe1.39–3.710.88–3.072.27–6.78safer1.09–4.020.59–3.351.68–7.37
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.954.07safe1.07–3.170.82–3.081.89–6.24safer0.80–3.430.53–3.371.33–6.80
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.902.336.23safe2.47–5.340.78–3.893.24–9.23safer2.08–5.730.35–4.312.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.12 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.00 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 17% 22% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.26 1.40–5.13 0.91–5.62 | 5.77 4.03–7.51 3.56–7.98 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.59 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 10.35 6.42–14.27 5.33–15.36 | 15.02 11.46–18.59 10.50–19.55 | 25.37 17.88–32.86 15.83–34.91 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 5.62 2.68–8.56 1.85–9.39 | 10.44 7.76–13.12 7.02–13.86 | 16.06 10.43–21.68 8.87–23.25 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.17 0.28–4.05 0.00–4.59 | 4.18 2.52–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 6.34 2.81–9.88 1.77–10.91 | 15% 73% |
| Corners | 3.99 1.77–6.20 1.20–6.77 | 5.85 3.85–7.85 3.32–8.39 | 9.84 5.63–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 41.73 34.94–48.52 33.27–50.19 | 57.85 51.07–64.64 49.39–66.31 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 362 294–429 276–447 | 499 433–566 415–583 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.14 64.11–72.17 62.82–73.46 | 76.83 72.50–81.15 71.19–82.46 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.87 8.03–13.71 7.28–14.46 | 11.54 8.60–14.48 7.85–15.23 | 22.41 16.63–28.19 15.12–29.70 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.55 1.39–3.71 1.09–4.02 | 1.97 0.88–3.07 0.59–3.35 | 4.53 2.27–6.78 1.68–7.37 | 51% 19% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.43 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 4.07 1.89–6.24 1.33–6.80 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.90 2.47–5.34 2.08–5.73 | 2.33 0.78–3.89 0.35–4.31 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.