UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.882.423.30safe0.00–1.851.56–3.271.47–5.12safer0.00–2.101.33–3.500.99–5.60
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.195.959.14safe1.33–5.054.21–7.695.53–12.74safer0.84–5.543.74–8.164.58–13.70
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6915.9325.62safe5.76–13.6112.36–19.4918.13–33.10safer4.67–14.7011.40–20.4516.08–35.15
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0010.5916.59safe3.06–8.947.91–13.2710.96–22.21safer2.23–9.777.17–14.019.40–23.78
Blocked shots
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.714.106.81safe0.83–4.592.44–5.753.27–10.34safer0.29–5.141.95–6.242.24–11.38
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.769.70safe1.72–6.153.76–7.765.48–13.91safer1.15–6.723.23–8.294.38–15.02
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.0762.51safe29.28–42.8655.72–69.29safer27.61–44.5354.05–70.96
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction307556863safe240–374490–623729–997safer222–392472–640694–1032
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction70.5782.59safe66.54–74.6078.26–86.91safer65.25–75.8976.95–88.22
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8213.1523.97safe7.98–13.6510.20–16.0918.18–29.75safer7.22–14.419.46–16.8416.68–31.25
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.963.99safe0.86–3.180.87–3.061.73–6.24safer0.56–3.490.58–3.341.14–6.83
Yellow cards
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.023.78safe0.72–2.820.89–3.151.60–5.96safer0.45–3.080.60–3.441.05–6.52
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.336.20safe2.43–5.300.78–3.893.21–9.20safer2.05–5.690.35–4.322.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 2.42 1.56–3.27 1.33–3.50 | 3.30 1.47–5.12 0.99–5.60 | 17% 71% |
| Shots on target | 3.19 1.33–5.05 0.84–5.54 | 5.95 4.21–7.69 3.74–8.16 | 9.14 5.53–12.74 4.58–13.70 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 9.69 5.76–13.61 4.67–14.70 | 15.93 12.36–19.49 11.40–20.45 | 25.62 18.13–33.10 16.08–35.15 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 6.00 3.06–8.94 2.23–9.77 | 10.59 7.91–13.27 7.17–14.01 | 16.59 10.96–22.21 9.40–23.78 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 2.71 0.83–4.59 0.29–5.14 | 4.10 2.44–5.75 1.95–6.24 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 23% 14% 63% |
| Corners | 3.94 1.72–6.15 1.15–6.72 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.29 | 9.70 5.48–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 36.07 29.28–42.86 27.61–44.53 | 62.51 55.72–69.29 54.05–70.96 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 307 240–374 222–392 | 556 490–623 472–640 | 863 729–997 694–1032 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.57 66.54–74.60 65.25–75.89 | 82.59 78.26–86.91 76.95–88.22 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.65 7.22–14.41 | 13.15 10.20–16.09 9.46–16.84 | 23.97 18.18–29.75 16.68–31.25 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.49 | 1.96 0.87–3.06 0.58–3.34 | 3.99 1.73–6.24 1.14–6.83 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.05–6.52 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.87 2.43–5.30 2.05–5.69 | 2.33 0.78–3.89 0.35–4.32 | 6.20 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+