UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 4·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.052.043.09safe0.08–2.021.19–2.901.27–4.92safer0.00–2.270.96–3.130.79–5.40
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.705.399.08safe1.84–5.563.64–7.135.48–12.69safer1.35–6.053.18–7.594.52–13.64
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3813.6225.00safe7.45–15.3010.05–17.1817.51–32.48safer6.36–16.409.10–18.1415.46–34.53
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction6.058.2114.26safe3.11–8.995.53–10.908.64–19.89safer2.28–9.824.80–11.637.07–21.45
Blocked shots
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.145.86safe0.84–4.611.48–4.792.33–9.40safer0.30–5.150.99–5.281.29–10.43
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.245.119.35safe2.02–6.453.11–7.115.14–13.56safer1.45–7.032.58–7.644.03–14.67
Possession %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction43.4657.08safe36.67–50.2550.29–63.86safer35.00–51.9248.62–65.53
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction376506882safe308–443440–573748–1016safer290–461422–590712–1051
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction76.8283.22safe72.79–80.8578.90–87.54safer71.50–82.1477.59–88.85
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.9627.01safe10.22–15.8911.02–16.9121.23–32.80safer9.46–16.6510.27–17.6519.73–34.30
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.723.21safe0.34–2.660.62–2.810.96–5.47safer0.04–2.960.33–3.100.37–6.06
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.254.17safe0.87–2.961.13–3.381.99–6.35safer0.60–3.230.83–3.671.43–6.91
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.545.94safe1.96–4.830.99–4.102.95–8.93safer1.57–5.220.56–4.532.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 2.04 1.19–2.90 0.96–3.13 | 3.09 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.40 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.70 1.84–5.56 1.35–6.05 | 5.39 3.64–7.13 3.18–7.59 | 9.08 5.48–12.69 4.52–13.64 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 11.38 7.45–15.30 6.36–16.40 | 13.62 10.05–17.18 9.10–18.14 | 25.00 17.51–32.48 15.46–34.53 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 6.05 3.11–8.99 2.28–9.82 | 8.21 5.53–10.90 4.80–11.63 | 14.26 8.64–19.89 7.07–21.45 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.84–4.61 0.30–5.15 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 5.86 2.33–9.40 1.29–10.43 | 35% 17% 48% |
| Corners | 4.24 2.02–6.45 1.45–7.03 | 5.11 3.11–7.11 2.58–7.64 | 9.35 5.14–13.56 4.03–14.67 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 43.46 36.67–50.25 35.00–51.92 | 57.08 50.29–63.86 48.62–65.53 | — | 19% 77% |
| Passes | 376 308–443 290–461 | 506 440–573 422–590 | 882 748–1016 712–1051 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.82 72.79–80.85 71.50–82.14 | 83.22 78.90–87.54 77.59–88.85 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.22–15.89 9.46–16.65 | 13.96 11.02–16.91 10.27–17.65 | 27.01 21.23–32.80 19.73–34.30 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.72 0.62–2.81 0.33–3.10 | 3.21 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.25 1.13–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.17 1.99–6.35 1.43–6.91 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.54 0.99–4.10 0.56–4.53 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+