UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.510.982.49safe0.54–2.480.13–1.840.67–4.32safer0.29–2.730.00–2.060.19–4.79
Shots on target
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.703.558.25safe2.84–6.571.81–5.294.65–11.86safer2.35–7.051.34–5.763.69–12.81
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0610.6023.66safe9.13–16.987.03–14.1616.17–31.14safer8.04–18.086.08–15.1214.12–33.20
Shots in box
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction8.035.9513.98safe5.09–10.973.27–8.638.35–19.60safer4.26–11.802.53–9.366.79–21.17
Blocked shots
53%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.212.485.69safe1.32–5.090.83–4.132.15–9.22safer0.78–5.630.34–4.631.12–10.26
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.829.17safe3.13–7.561.82–5.824.95–13.38safer2.56–8.131.29–6.363.85–14.49
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.5847.19safe45.79–59.3740.41–53.98safer44.12–61.0438.74–55.65
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction443404847safe376–510338–471714–981safer358–529320–488678–1017
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction79.0177.25safe74.98–83.0472.92–81.57safer73.69–84.3371.61–82.88
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2914.1927.49safe10.46–16.1311.25–17.1421.71–33.27safer9.70–16.8910.50–17.8920.20–34.77
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.693.79safe0.93–3.250.60–2.791.54–6.04safer0.63–3.560.31–3.080.95–6.63
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.053.62safe0.52–2.620.92–3.181.44–5.80safer0.26–2.890.63–3.470.89–6.36
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.035.48safe1.01–3.881.48–4.592.48–8.47safer0.62–4.271.05–5.011.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.06 | 2.49 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.79 | 50% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.70 2.84–6.57 2.35–7.05 | 3.55 1.81–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 8.25 4.65–11.86 3.69–12.81 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Total shots | 13.06 9.13–16.98 8.04–18.08 | 10.60 7.03–14.16 6.08–15.12 | 23.66 16.17–31.14 14.12–33.20 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.03 5.09–10.97 4.26–11.80 | 5.95 3.27–8.63 2.53–9.36 | 13.98 8.35–19.60 6.79–21.17 | 66% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.32–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 2.48 0.83–4.13 0.34–4.63 | 5.69 2.15–9.22 1.12–10.26 | 53% 16% 30% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.29–6.36 | 9.17 4.95–13.38 3.85–14.49 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 52.58 45.79–59.37 44.12–61.04 | 47.19 40.41–53.98 38.74–55.65 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 443 376–510 358–529 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 847 714–981 678–1017 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.01 74.98–83.04 73.69–84.33 | 77.25 72.92–81.57 71.61–82.88 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 13.29 10.46–16.13 9.70–16.89 | 14.19 11.25–17.14 10.50–17.89 | 27.49 21.71–33.27 20.20–34.77 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.56 | 1.69 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 3.79 1.54–6.04 0.95–6.63 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.01–3.88 0.62–4.27 | 3.03 1.48–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 5.48 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.