UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.852.032.88safe0.00–1.821.18–2.891.06–4.71safer0.00–2.070.95–3.120.58–5.19
Shots on target
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.055.478.52safe1.18–4.913.73–7.214.91–12.12safer0.69–5.403.26–7.683.96–13.08
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3614.8225.18safe6.43–14.2811.26–18.3917.69–32.67safer5.34–15.3710.30–19.3515.64–34.72
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.589.8715.45safe2.63–8.527.19–12.569.83–21.07safer1.80–9.356.46–13.298.26–22.64
Blocked shots
24%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.926.59safe0.79–4.552.26–5.573.05–10.12safer0.24–5.091.77–6.062.01–11.16
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.445.979.41safe1.22–5.653.97–7.975.19–13.62safer0.65–6.223.44–8.504.08–14.73
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.5856.96safe35.79–49.3750.17–63.74safer34.12–51.0448.50–65.41
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction379508887safe311–446442–574753–1020safer293–464424–592717–1056
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction70.6277.84safe66.59–74.6573.52–82.17safer65.29–75.9472.21–83.48
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4211.7321.15safe6.58–12.268.78–14.6715.37–26.93safer5.83–13.028.04–15.4213.86–28.44
Offsides
52%
20%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.694.01safe1.16–3.480.59–2.781.75–6.26safer0.86–3.780.30–3.071.16–6.85
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.793.49safe0.65–2.750.66–2.921.31–5.67safer0.38–3.010.37–3.210.75–6.22
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
61%
16%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.155.48safe1.89–4.760.60–3.712.49–8.47safer1.50–5.150.17–4.131.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.07 | 2.03 1.18–2.89 0.95–3.12 | 2.88 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.05 1.18–4.91 0.69–5.40 | 5.47 3.73–7.21 3.26–7.68 | 8.52 4.91–12.12 3.96–13.08 | 15% 75% |
| Total shots | 10.36 6.43–14.28 5.34–15.37 | 14.82 11.26–18.39 10.30–19.35 | 25.18 17.69–32.67 15.64–34.72 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 5.58 2.63–8.52 1.80–9.35 | 9.87 7.19–12.56 6.46–13.29 | 15.45 9.83–21.07 8.26–22.64 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.67 0.79–4.55 0.24–5.09 | 3.92 2.26–5.57 1.77–6.06 | 6.59 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.16 | 24% 14% 61% |
| Corners | 3.44 1.22–5.65 0.65–6.22 | 5.97 3.97–7.97 3.44–8.50 | 9.41 5.19–13.62 4.08–14.73 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 42.58 35.79–49.37 34.12–51.04 | 56.96 50.17–63.74 48.50–65.41 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 379 311–446 293–464 | 508 442–574 424–592 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.62 66.59–74.65 65.29–75.94 | 77.84 73.52–82.17 72.21–83.48 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 9.42 6.58–12.26 5.83–13.02 | 11.73 8.78–14.67 8.04–15.42 | 21.15 15.37–26.93 13.86–28.44 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.07 | 4.01 1.75–6.26 1.16–6.85 | 52% 20% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.22 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.15 0.60–3.71 0.17–4.13 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.68–9.29 | 61% 16% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.