UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.892.062.95safe0.00–1.861.21–2.911.13–4.77safer0.00–2.110.98–3.140.65–5.25
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.195.658.84safe1.33–5.053.91–7.395.23–12.44safer0.84–5.543.44–7.864.28–13.40
Total shots
13%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4515.6626.10safe6.52–14.3712.10–19.2218.62–33.59safer5.43–15.4611.14–20.1816.57–35.64
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.399.6415.03safe2.45–8.346.96–12.329.41–20.66safer1.62–9.176.22–13.067.84–22.22
Blocked shots
31%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.676.61safe1.06–4.822.02–5.333.08–10.15safer0.51–5.371.53–5.822.04–11.18
Corners
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.966.0910.06safe1.75–6.184.09–8.095.85–14.27safer1.18–6.753.56–8.634.74–15.38
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction39.8259.33safe33.03–46.6152.55–66.12safer31.36–48.2850.87–67.79
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction350532882safe282–417466–599748–1016safer264–435448–616713–1051
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction69.3979.80safe65.36–73.4275.48–84.12safer64.07–74.7174.17–85.43
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4313.9626.39safe9.59–15.2711.02–16.9120.61–32.17safer8.84–16.0210.27–17.6619.11–33.68
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.733.42safe0.53–2.850.63–2.821.16–5.67safer0.23–3.150.34–3.110.57–6.26
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.324.30safe0.94–3.041.19–3.452.13–6.48safer0.67–3.300.90–3.741.57–7.04
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
64%
15%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.195.77safe2.14–5.010.63–3.752.77–8.76safer1.75–5.400.21–4.171.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 2.06 1.21–2.91 0.98–3.14 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 15% 20% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.19 1.33–5.05 0.84–5.54 | 5.65 3.91–7.39 3.44–7.86 | 8.84 5.23–12.44 4.28–13.40 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 10.45 6.52–14.37 5.43–15.46 | 15.66 12.10–19.22 11.14–20.18 | 26.10 18.62–33.59 16.57–35.64 | 13% 82% |
| Shots in box | 5.39 2.45–8.34 1.62–9.17 | 9.64 6.96–12.32 6.22–13.06 | 15.03 9.41–20.66 7.84–22.22 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.94 1.06–4.82 0.51–5.37 | 3.67 2.02–5.33 1.53–5.82 | 6.61 3.08–10.15 2.04–11.18 | 31% 15% 53% |
| Corners | 3.96 1.75–6.18 1.18–6.75 | 6.09 4.09–8.09 3.56–8.63 | 10.06 5.85–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 20% 70% |
| Possession % | 39.82 33.03–46.61 31.36–48.28 | 59.33 52.55–66.12 50.87–67.79 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 350 282–417 264–435 | 532 466–599 448–616 | 882 748–1016 713–1051 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.39 65.36–73.42 64.07–74.71 | 79.80 75.48–84.12 74.17–85.43 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.43 9.59–15.27 8.84–16.02 | 13.96 11.02–16.91 10.27–17.66 | 26.39 20.61–32.17 19.11–33.68 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.30 2.13–6.48 1.57–7.04 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.14–5.01 1.75–5.40 | 2.19 0.63–3.75 0.21–4.17 | 5.77 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 64% 15% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.