UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.852.493.33safe0.00–1.811.63–3.341.51–5.15safer0.00–2.071.40–3.571.03–5.63
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.166.9310.09safe1.30–5.025.19–8.676.49–13.70safer0.81–5.514.72–9.145.53–14.65
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1118.1828.29safe6.18–14.0314.61–21.7420.80–35.77safer5.09–15.1313.66–22.7018.75–37.82
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0911.4217.51safe3.15–9.038.74–14.1011.89–23.13safer2.32–9.868.00–14.8410.32–24.70
Blocked shots
24%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.844.237.07safe0.96–4.722.57–5.883.53–10.60safer0.42–5.272.08–6.372.50–11.64
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.326.259.57safe1.11–5.544.25–8.255.36–13.79safer0.53–6.113.72–8.784.25–14.89
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction36.9062.05safe30.11–43.6955.26–68.83safer28.44–45.3653.59–70.50
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction325548872safe257–392481–614739–1006safer239–410464–632703–1042
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction69.0479.89safe65.01–73.0775.57–84.22safer63.72–74.3674.26–85.53
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8910.8723.76safe10.05–15.727.93–13.8217.98–29.54safer9.29–16.487.18–14.5716.47–31.05
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.543.26safe0.56–2.890.45–2.631.01–5.52safer0.26–3.190.16–2.920.42–6.11
Yellow cards
51%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.453.47safe0.96–3.060.32–2.581.29–5.64safer0.70–3.330.03–2.870.73–6.20
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.682.226.90safe3.24–6.110.67–3.783.91–9.89safer2.85–6.500.24–4.203.10–10.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.07 | 2.49 1.63–3.34 1.40–3.57 | 3.33 1.51–5.15 1.03–5.63 | 16% 73% |
| Shots on target | 3.16 1.30–5.02 0.81–5.51 | 6.93 5.19–8.67 4.72–9.14 | 10.09 6.49–13.70 5.53–14.65 | 85% |
| Total shots | 10.11 6.18–14.03 5.09–15.13 | 18.18 14.61–21.74 13.66–22.70 | 28.29 20.80–35.77 18.75–37.82 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 6.09 3.15–9.03 2.32–9.86 | 11.42 8.74–14.10 8.00–14.84 | 17.51 11.89–23.13 10.32–24.70 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 2.84 0.96–4.72 0.42–5.27 | 4.23 2.57–5.88 2.08–6.37 | 7.07 3.53–10.60 2.50–11.64 | 24% 13% 63% |
| Corners | 3.32 1.11–5.54 0.53–6.11 | 6.25 4.25–8.25 3.72–8.78 | 9.57 5.36–13.79 4.25–14.89 | 79% |
| Possession % | 36.90 30.11–43.69 28.44–45.36 | 62.05 55.26–68.83 53.59–70.50 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 325 257–392 239–410 | 548 481–614 464–632 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.04 65.01–73.07 63.72–74.36 | 79.89 75.57–84.22 74.26–85.53 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.89 10.05–15.72 9.29–16.48 | 10.87 7.93–13.82 7.18–14.57 | 23.76 17.98–29.54 16.47–31.05 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.56–2.89 0.26–3.19 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 1.45 0.32–2.58 0.03–2.87 | 3.47 1.29–5.64 0.73–6.20 | 51% 22% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.68 3.24–6.11 2.85–6.50 | 2.22 0.67–3.78 0.24–4.20 | 6.90 3.91–9.89 3.10–10.71 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.