UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.522.68safe0.19–2.130.67–2.380.86–4.51safer0.00–2.380.44–2.600.38–4.99
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.134.428.55safe2.27–5.992.68–6.164.94–12.15safer1.78–6.482.21–6.633.99–13.11
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5612.8224.38safe7.63–15.489.26–16.3916.89–31.87safer6.54–16.578.30–17.3514.84–33.92
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.477.6715.14safe4.52–10.414.99–10.359.52–20.76safer3.69–11.244.25–11.097.95–22.33
Blocked shots
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.436.29safe0.98–4.751.78–5.082.76–9.83safer0.44–5.291.28–5.571.72–10.86
Corners
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.184.889.06safe1.96–6.392.88–6.884.84–13.27safer1.39–6.962.35–7.413.74–14.38
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.2057.34safe36.41–49.9950.56–64.13safer34.74–51.6648.89–65.80
Passes
16%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction352468820safe285–419402–535687–954safer267–437384–552651–990
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction70.5878.96safe66.55–74.6174.64–83.29safer65.26–75.9073.33–84.59
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5313.0126.53safe10.69–16.3610.06–15.9520.75–32.32safer9.93–17.129.31–16.7019.25–33.82
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.613.71safe0.94–3.260.52–2.701.46–5.97safer0.64–3.560.23–2.990.87–6.56
Yellow cards
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.794.01safe1.17–3.270.66–2.921.84–6.19safer0.91–3.540.37–3.211.28–6.75
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.955.88safe1.49–4.361.40–4.512.89–8.87safer1.10–4.750.97–4.932.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.60 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 29% 25% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–5.99 1.78–6.48 | 4.42 2.68–6.16 2.21–6.63 | 8.55 4.94–12.15 3.99–13.11 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 11.56 7.63–15.48 6.54–16.57 | 12.82 9.26–16.39 8.30–17.35 | 24.38 16.89–31.87 14.84–33.92 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.47 4.52–10.41 3.69–11.24 | 7.67 4.99–10.35 4.25–11.09 | 15.14 9.52–20.76 7.95–22.33 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 2.86 0.98–4.75 0.44–5.29 | 3.43 1.78–5.08 1.28–5.57 | 6.29 2.76–9.83 1.72–10.86 | 33% 16% 51% |
| Corners | 4.18 1.96–6.39 1.39–6.96 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.41 | 9.06 4.84–13.27 3.74–14.38 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Possession % | 43.20 36.41–49.99 34.74–51.66 | 57.34 50.56–64.13 48.89–65.80 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 352 285–419 267–437 | 468 402–535 384–552 | 820 687–954 651–990 | 16% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.58 66.55–74.61 65.26–75.90 | 78.96 74.64–83.29 73.33–84.59 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.53 10.69–16.36 9.93–17.12 | 13.01 10.06–15.95 9.31–16.70 | 26.53 20.75–32.32 19.25–33.82 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.17–3.27 0.91–3.54 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 4.01 1.84–6.19 1.28–6.75 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 5.88 2.89–8.87 2.07–9.68 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.