Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
25%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction0.921.602.52safe0.00–1.890.75–2.460.70–4.34safer0.00–2.140.52–2.690.22–4.82
Shots on target
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.024.877.89safe1.16–4.893.12–6.614.28–11.49safer0.67–5.382.66–7.073.33–12.45
Total shots
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2314.4624.69safe6.31–14.1610.90–18.0217.20–32.18safer5.22–15.259.94–18.9815.15–34.23
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.979.5615.53safe3.03–8.916.88–12.249.91–21.16safer2.20–9.746.14–12.988.34–22.72
Blocked shots
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.716.64safe1.05–4.822.05–5.363.11–10.18safer0.51–5.361.56–5.852.07–11.21
Corners
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.914.888.78safe1.69–6.122.88–6.884.57–13.00safer1.12–6.692.34–7.413.46–14.10
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.4554.69safe38.66–52.2447.91–61.48safer36.99–53.9146.24–63.15
Passes
21%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction393488881safe326–461421–554747–1015safer308–479404–572712–1050
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction68.1074.45safe64.07–72.1370.13–78.78safer62.77–73.4268.82–80.08
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0111.6522.66safe8.17–13.858.70–14.5916.88–28.44safer7.42–14.607.95–15.3415.37–29.94
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.913.53safe0.45–2.770.82–3.011.27–5.78safer0.15–3.070.53–3.290.68–6.37
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.703.41safe0.67–2.770.57–2.831.24–5.59safer0.40–3.030.28–3.120.68–6.15
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
59%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.352.315.66safe1.91–4.780.75–3.862.66–8.65safer1.52–5.170.33–4.291.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 1.60 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 2.52 0.70–4.34 0.22–4.82 | 22% 25% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.02 1.16–4.89 0.67–5.38 | 4.87 3.12–6.61 2.66–7.07 | 7.89 4.28–11.49 3.33–12.45 | 20% 68% |
| Total shots | 10.23 6.31–14.16 5.22–15.25 | 14.46 10.90–18.02 9.94–18.98 | 24.69 17.20–32.18 15.15–34.23 | 17% 77% |
| Shots in box | 5.97 3.03–8.91 2.20–9.74 | 9.56 6.88–12.24 6.14–12.98 | 15.53 9.91–21.16 8.34–22.72 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 2.94 1.05–4.82 0.51–5.36 | 3.71 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 6.64 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.21 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 3.91 1.69–6.12 1.12–6.69 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.34–7.41 | 8.78 4.57–13.00 3.46–14.10 | 31% 56% |
| Possession % | 45.45 38.66–52.24 36.99–53.91 | 54.69 47.91–61.48 46.24–63.15 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 393 326–461 308–479 | 488 421–554 404–572 | 881 747–1015 712–1050 | 21% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.10 64.07–72.13 62.77–73.42 | 74.45 70.13–78.78 68.82–80.08 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.01 8.17–13.85 7.42–14.60 | 11.65 8.70–14.59 7.95–15.34 | 22.66 16.88–28.44 15.37–29.94 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.91 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.29 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.03 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.41 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.91–4.78 1.52–5.17 | 2.31 0.75–3.86 0.33–4.29 | 5.66 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 59% 16% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+