UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.882.573.45safe0.00–1.851.71–3.421.63–5.27safer0.00–2.101.49–3.651.15–5.75
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction2.957.1710.12safe1.09–4.815.43–8.926.52–13.73safer0.60–5.304.97–9.385.56–14.68
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0218.2527.26safe5.09–12.9414.68–21.8119.78–34.75safer4.00–14.0413.72–22.7717.73–36.80
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.7111.6517.37safe2.77–8.668.97–14.3311.74–22.99safer1.94–9.488.24–15.0710.18–24.56
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.534.436.96safe0.65–4.412.78–6.083.42–10.49safer0.10–4.952.29–6.582.39–11.53
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.396.539.92safe1.18–5.614.53–8.535.71–14.14safer0.61–6.184.00–9.064.60–15.24
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.0661.60safe31.27–44.8554.82–68.39safer29.60–46.5253.15–70.06
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction333539872safe266–401473–605739–1006safer248–419455–623703–1042
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction67.6480.19safe63.61–71.6775.87–84.51safer62.32–72.9774.56–85.82
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6011.9622.56safe7.76–13.439.02–14.9116.78–28.34safer7.00–14.198.27–15.6615.27–29.85
Offsides
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.983.71safe0.57–2.890.89–3.071.46–5.97safer0.27–3.200.60–3.360.87–6.56
Yellow cards
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.653.64safe0.94–3.040.52–2.781.46–5.82safer0.68–3.310.23–3.070.90–6.38
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.372.136.50safe2.93–5.810.57–3.683.51–9.49safer2.55–6.190.15–4.112.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 2.57 1.71–3.42 1.49–3.65 | 3.45 1.63–5.27 1.15–5.75 | 16% 74% |
| Shots on target | 2.95 1.09–4.81 0.60–5.30 | 7.17 5.43–8.92 4.97–9.38 | 10.12 6.52–13.73 5.56–14.68 | 88% |
| Total shots | 9.02 5.09–12.94 4.00–14.04 | 18.25 14.68–21.81 13.72–22.77 | 27.26 19.78–34.75 17.73–36.80 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 5.71 2.77–8.66 1.94–9.48 | 11.65 8.97–14.33 8.24–15.07 | 17.37 11.74–22.99 10.18–24.56 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.53 0.65–4.41 0.10–4.95 | 4.43 2.78–6.08 2.29–6.58 | 6.96 3.42–10.49 2.39–11.53 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.39 1.18–5.61 0.61–6.18 | 6.53 4.53–8.53 4.00–9.06 | 9.92 5.71–14.14 4.60–15.24 | 80% |
| Possession % | 38.06 31.27–44.85 29.60–46.52 | 61.60 54.82–68.39 53.15–70.06 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 333 266–401 248–419 | 539 473–605 455–623 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.64 63.61–71.67 62.32–72.97 | 80.19 75.87–84.51 74.56–85.82 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.76–13.43 7.00–14.19 | 11.96 9.02–14.91 8.27–15.66 | 22.56 16.78–28.34 15.27–29.85 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.20 | 1.98 0.89–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.90–6.38 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.37 2.93–5.81 2.55–6.19 | 2.13 0.57–3.68 0.15–4.11 | 6.50 3.51–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.