UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.632.87safe0.27–2.210.78–2.491.05–4.70safer0.02–2.460.55–2.720.57–5.18
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.589.62safe2.17–5.903.84–7.326.01–13.22safer1.68–6.393.37–7.795.05–14.18
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6314.2426.87safe8.70–16.5510.68–17.8119.38–34.36safer7.61–17.649.72–18.7717.33–36.41
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.819.2417.05safe4.87–10.756.56–11.9211.42–22.67safer4.04–11.585.82–12.669.86–24.24
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.927.51safe1.70–5.472.27–5.573.97–11.04safer1.16–6.011.77–6.062.93–12.08
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.514.569.07safe2.30–6.722.56–6.564.86–13.29safer1.72–7.302.03–7.103.75–14.39
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.1346.78safe46.34–59.9240.00–53.57safer44.67–61.5938.33–55.24
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction508459967safe441–576392–525834–1101safer423–594375–543798–1137
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction73.9675.51safe69.93–77.9871.19–79.84safer68.63–79.2869.88–81.14
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction11.739.9521.67safe8.89–14.567.00–12.8915.89–27.45safer8.13–15.326.25–13.6414.38–28.96
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.493.22safe0.56–2.880.40–2.590.96–5.47safer0.26–3.180.11–2.870.37–6.06
Yellow cards
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.443.19safe0.70–2.790.31–2.571.01–5.36safer0.43–3.060.02–2.860.45–5.92
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
49%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.026.46safe2.01–4.881.46–4.573.47–9.46safer1.62–5.271.04–5.002.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.63 0.78–2.49 0.55–2.72 | 2.87 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.17–5.90 1.68–6.39 | 5.58 3.84–7.32 3.37–7.79 | 9.62 6.01–13.22 5.05–14.18 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 12.63 8.70–16.55 7.61–17.64 | 14.24 10.68–17.81 9.72–18.77 | 26.87 19.38–34.36 17.33–36.41 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.81 4.87–10.75 4.04–11.58 | 9.24 6.56–11.92 5.82–12.66 | 17.05 11.42–22.67 9.86–24.24 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.70–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 3.92 2.27–5.57 1.77–6.06 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.93–12.08 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.51 2.30–6.72 1.72–7.30 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.10 | 9.07 4.86–13.29 3.75–14.39 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 53.13 46.34–59.92 44.67–61.59 | 46.78 40.00–53.57 38.33–55.24 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 508 441–576 423–594 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 967 834–1101 798–1137 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.96 69.93–77.98 68.63–79.28 | 75.51 71.19–79.84 69.88–81.14 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.56 8.13–15.32 | 9.95 7.00–12.89 6.25–13.64 | 21.67 15.89–27.45 14.38–28.96 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.87 | 3.22 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.70–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.44 0.31–2.57 0.02–2.86 | 3.19 1.01–5.36 0.45–5.92 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.45 2.01–4.88 1.62–5.27 | 3.02 1.46–4.57 1.04–5.00 | 6.46 3.47–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 49% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+