UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.960.922.88safe0.99–2.930.07–1.781.06–4.70safer0.74–3.180.00–2.000.58–5.18
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.832.788.60safe3.97–7.691.03–4.525.00–12.21safer3.48–8.180.57–4.984.04–13.17
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.228.7124.94safe12.30–20.155.15–12.2817.45–32.42safer11.21–21.244.19–13.2415.40–34.48
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.335.0415.36safe7.38–13.272.36–7.729.74–20.99safer6.55–14.101.62–8.468.17–22.55
Blocked shots
76%
homeawaytotalprediction4.101.885.98safe2.22–5.980.23–3.542.45–9.52safer1.68–6.530.00–4.031.41–10.56
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.419.46safe3.84–8.261.41–5.415.25–13.67safer3.26–8.840.88–5.944.14–14.78
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.7538.03safe55.96–69.5431.25–44.82safer54.29–71.2129.58–46.49
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction604367970safe537–671300–433837–1104safer518–689283–451801–1140
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction79.7871.77safe75.75–83.8167.45–76.09safer74.46–85.1066.14–77.40
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6010.0222.62safe9.76–15.437.08–12.9616.83–28.40safer9.00–16.196.33–13.7115.33–29.90
Offsides
53%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.503.70safe1.03–3.360.41–2.591.44–5.95safer0.73–3.660.12–2.880.85–6.54
Yellow cards
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.593.16safe0.53–2.620.46–2.720.99–5.34safer0.26–2.890.17–3.010.43–5.90
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.394.026.41safe0.96–3.832.46–5.583.42–9.40safer0.57–4.212.04–6.002.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.00 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.83 3.97–7.69 3.48–8.18 | 2.78 1.03–4.52 0.57–4.98 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.17 | 81% |
| Total shots | 16.22 12.30–20.15 11.21–21.24 | 8.71 5.15–12.28 4.19–13.24 | 24.94 17.45–32.42 15.40–34.48 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 10.33 7.38–13.27 6.55–14.10 | 5.04 2.36–7.72 1.62–8.46 | 15.36 9.74–20.99 8.17–22.55 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.68–6.53 | 1.88 0.23–3.54 0.00–4.03 | 5.98 2.45–9.52 1.41–10.56 | 76% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.84–8.26 3.26–8.84 | 3.41 1.41–5.41 0.88–5.94 | 9.46 5.25–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 62.75 55.96–69.54 54.29–71.21 | 38.03 31.25–44.82 29.58–46.49 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 604 537–671 518–689 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 970 837–1104 801–1140 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.78 75.75–83.81 74.46–85.10 | 71.77 67.45–76.09 66.14–77.40 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 12.60 9.76–15.43 9.00–16.19 | 10.02 7.08–12.96 6.33–13.71 | 22.62 16.83–28.40 15.33–29.90 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.03–3.36 0.73–3.66 | 1.50 0.41–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.70 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 53% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.16 0.99–5.34 0.43–5.90 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.21 | 4.02 2.46–5.58 2.04–6.00 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.