UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.100.842.94safe1.13–3.070.00–1.701.12–4.76safer0.88–3.320.00–1.930.64–5.24
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.062.868.92safe4.20–7.921.12–4.605.31–12.52safer3.71–8.410.65–5.074.36–13.48
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.379.3826.76safe13.45–21.305.82–12.9519.27–34.25safer12.36–22.394.86–13.9117.22–36.30
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.146.0517.19safe8.19–14.083.37–8.7311.57–22.81safer7.37–14.912.64–9.4710.00–24.38
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.462.617.06safe2.58–6.340.95–4.263.53–10.60safer2.03–6.880.46–4.752.49–11.63
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.102.969.07safe3.89–8.320.96–4.964.85–13.28safer3.32–8.890.43–5.503.75–14.39
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.1336.57safe56.34–69.9229.78–43.35safer54.67–71.5928.11–45.02
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction6473891036safe580–714322–455902–1170safer562–732305–473867–1205
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction78.8671.62safe74.83–82.8967.30–75.95safer73.53–84.1865.99–77.26
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6710.7421.41safe7.83–13.507.80–13.6915.63–27.19safer7.07–14.267.05–14.4314.12–28.69
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.413.30safe0.74–3.060.31–2.501.05–5.56safer0.44–3.360.02–2.790.46–6.15
Yellow cards
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.462.82safe0.31–2.410.33–2.590.64–5.00safer0.05–2.680.04–2.880.08–5.55
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.046.39safe0.92–3.792.48–5.593.40–9.39safer0.53–4.182.06–6.022.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.07 0.88–3.32 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.06 4.20–7.92 3.71–8.41 | 2.86 1.12–4.60 0.65–5.07 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.37 13.45–21.30 12.36–22.39 | 9.38 5.82–12.95 4.86–13.91 | 26.76 19.27–34.25 17.22–36.30 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.14 8.19–14.08 7.37–14.91 | 6.05 3.37–8.73 2.64–9.47 | 17.19 11.57–22.81 10.00–24.38 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.58–6.34 2.03–6.88 | 2.61 0.95–4.26 0.46–4.75 | 7.06 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.63 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.89–8.32 3.32–8.89 | 2.96 0.96–4.96 0.43–5.50 | 9.07 4.85–13.28 3.75–14.39 | 81% |
| Possession % | 63.13 56.34–69.92 54.67–71.59 | 36.57 29.78–43.35 28.11–45.02 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 647 580–714 562–732 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 1036 902–1170 867–1205 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.86 74.83–82.89 73.53–84.18 | 71.62 67.30–75.95 65.99–77.26 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 10.67 7.83–13.50 7.07–14.26 | 10.74 7.80–13.69 7.05–14.43 | 21.41 15.63–27.19 14.12–28.69 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.41 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.30 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 1.46 0.33–2.59 0.04–2.88 | 2.82 0.64–5.00 0.08–5.55 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 4.04 2.48–5.59 2.06–6.02 | 6.39 3.40–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+