UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.130.983.11safe1.16–3.100.12–1.831.28–4.93safer0.91–3.350.00–2.060.80–5.41
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.023.309.32safe4.16–7.881.56–5.045.72–12.93safer3.67–8.371.09–5.514.76–13.88
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.879.7526.63safe12.95–20.806.19–13.3119.14–34.11safer11.86–21.895.23–14.2717.09–36.16
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.116.3417.45safe8.17–14.053.66–9.0211.83–23.07safer7.34–14.882.92–9.7610.26–24.64
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.432.546.97safe2.55–6.320.89–4.193.44–10.51safer2.01–6.860.39–4.682.40–11.54
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.963.469.41safe3.74–8.171.46–5.465.20–13.63safer3.17–8.740.92–5.994.09–14.74
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8837.17safe57.09–70.6730.39–43.96safer55.42–72.3428.72–45.63
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction6483801029safe581–716314–447895–1163safer563–734297–464859–1198
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction78.8174.06safe74.78–82.8469.74–78.38safer73.48–84.1368.43–79.69
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5810.6921.27safe7.74–13.417.75–13.6415.49–27.05safer6.98–14.177.00–14.3913.98–28.56
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.323.14safe0.66–2.980.23–2.410.88–5.39safer0.36–3.280.00–2.700.30–5.98
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.963.31safe0.31–2.400.83–3.091.14–5.49safer0.04–2.670.54–3.380.58–6.05
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.916.42safe1.07–3.942.36–5.473.42–9.41safer0.68–4.331.93–5.892.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 3.11 1.28–4.93 0.80–5.41 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.02 4.16–7.88 3.67–8.37 | 3.30 1.56–5.04 1.09–5.51 | 9.32 5.72–12.93 4.76–13.88 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.87 12.95–20.80 11.86–21.89 | 9.75 6.19–13.31 5.23–14.27 | 26.63 19.14–34.11 17.09–36.16 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.11 8.17–14.05 7.34–14.88 | 6.34 3.66–9.02 2.92–9.76 | 17.45 11.83–23.07 10.26–24.64 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 2.54 0.89–4.19 0.39–4.68 | 6.97 3.44–10.51 2.40–11.54 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 5.96 3.74–8.17 3.17–8.74 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.92–5.99 | 9.41 5.20–13.63 4.09–14.74 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 63.88 57.09–70.67 55.42–72.34 | 37.17 30.39–43.96 28.72–45.63 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 648 581–716 563–734 | 380 314–447 297–464 | 1029 895–1163 859–1198 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.81 74.78–82.84 73.48–84.13 | 74.06 69.74–78.38 68.43–79.69 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.58 7.74–13.41 6.98–14.17 | 10.69 7.75–13.64 7.00–14.39 | 21.27 15.49–27.05 13.98–28.56 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.32 0.23–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.30–5.98 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.31–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.31 1.14–5.49 0.58–6.05 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 3.91 2.36–5.47 1.93–5.89 | 6.42 3.42–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.