UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.782.96safe0.21–2.150.92–2.631.14–4.78safer0.00–2.400.70–2.860.66–5.26
Shots on target
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.784.908.69safe1.92–5.653.16–6.655.08–12.29safer1.43–6.142.70–7.114.13–13.25
Total shots
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7012.9024.60safe7.78–15.639.34–16.4617.11–32.09safer6.68–16.728.38–17.4215.06–34.14
Shots in box
32%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction6.988.2815.26safe4.04–9.935.60–10.969.64–20.89safer3.21–10.764.86–11.708.07–22.45
Blocked shots
41%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.146.25safe1.22–4.991.49–4.802.71–9.78safer0.68–5.531.00–5.291.68–10.82
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.369.93safe2.35–6.783.36–7.365.72–14.14safer1.78–7.362.83–7.894.61–15.25
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.2352.39safe40.44–54.0245.61–59.18safer38.77–55.6943.94–60.85
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction404446850safe337–471380–513717–984safer319–490362–530681–1020
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction70.9475.23safe66.91–74.9770.90–79.55safer65.62–76.2669.59–80.86
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2412.0524.29safe9.40–15.089.11–15.0018.51–30.08safer8.64–15.838.36–15.7517.01–31.58
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.733.40safe0.51–2.830.63–2.821.14–5.65safer0.21–3.130.35–3.110.55–6.24
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.084.17safe1.03–3.130.95–3.211.99–6.34safer0.77–3.400.66–3.501.43–6.90
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.455.79safe1.90–4.780.89–4.012.80–8.78safer1.52–5.160.47–4.431.99–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.78 0.92–2.63 0.70–2.86 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 25% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.78 1.92–5.65 1.43–6.14 | 4.90 3.16–6.65 2.70–7.11 | 8.69 5.08–12.29 4.13–13.25 | 29% 58% |
| Total shots | 11.70 7.78–15.63 6.68–16.72 | 12.90 9.34–16.46 8.38–17.42 | 24.60 17.11–32.09 15.06–34.14 | 37% 56% |
| Shots in box | 6.98 4.04–9.93 3.21–10.76 | 8.28 5.60–10.96 4.86–11.70 | 15.26 9.64–20.89 8.07–22.45 | 32% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.10 1.22–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 3.14 1.49–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 6.25 2.71–9.78 1.68–10.82 | 41% 16% 42% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.35–6.78 1.78–7.36 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.83–7.89 | 9.93 5.72–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 47.23 40.44–54.02 38.77–55.69 | 52.39 45.61–59.18 43.94–60.85 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 404 337–471 319–490 | 446 380–513 362–530 | 850 717–984 681–1020 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.94 66.91–74.97 65.62–76.26 | 75.23 70.90–79.55 69.59–80.86 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.40–15.08 8.64–15.83 | 12.05 9.11–15.00 8.36–15.75 | 24.29 18.51–30.08 17.01–31.58 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.77–3.40 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 4.17 1.99–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.34 1.90–4.78 1.52–5.16 | 2.45 0.89–4.01 0.47–4.43 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.99–9.59 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+