Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.132.53safe0.43–2.370.27–1.980.70–4.35safer0.18–2.620.05–2.210.22–4.83
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.648.02safe2.52–6.251.89–5.384.42–11.63safer2.03–6.741.43–5.843.46–12.58
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4810.9423.42safe8.55–16.407.38–14.5015.93–30.91safer7.46–17.496.42–15.4613.88–32.96
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction7.476.5013.97safe4.53–10.413.82–9.188.34–19.59safer3.70–11.243.08–9.926.78–21.16
Blocked shots
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.022.885.90safe1.14–4.911.22–4.532.37–9.44safer0.60–5.450.73–5.021.33–10.47
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.929.09safe2.95–7.381.92–5.924.87–13.30safer2.37–7.951.39–6.463.77–14.41
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.5047.92safe44.71–58.2941.13–54.70safer43.04–59.9639.46–56.37
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction437440877safe369–504374–506743–1010safer351–522356–524707–1046
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction75.3976.88safe71.36–79.4272.56–81.21safer70.07–80.7271.25–82.52
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6512.9525.61safe9.82–15.4910.01–15.9019.83–31.39safer9.06–16.259.26–16.6518.32–32.89
Offsides
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.673.77safe0.94–3.260.58–2.761.52–6.02safer0.64–3.560.29–3.050.93–6.61
Yellow cards
35%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.164.09safe0.88–2.981.03–3.291.91–6.27safer0.62–3.250.74–3.581.36–6.83
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.320.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.865.35safe1.05–3.931.31–4.422.36–8.34safer0.67–4.310.88–4.841.55–9.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.53 0.70–4.35 0.22–4.83 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.39 2.52–6.25 2.03–6.74 | 3.64 1.89–5.38 1.43–5.84 | 8.02 4.42–11.63 3.46–12.58 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 12.48 8.55–16.40 7.46–17.49 | 10.94 7.38–14.50 6.42–15.46 | 23.42 15.93–30.91 13.88–32.96 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 7.47 4.53–10.41 3.70–11.24 | 6.50 3.82–9.18 3.08–9.92 | 13.97 8.34–19.59 6.78–21.16 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.02 1.14–4.91 0.60–5.45 | 2.88 1.22–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 5.90 2.37–9.44 1.33–10.47 | 44% 17% 39% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.95–7.38 2.37–7.95 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.46 | 9.09 4.87–13.30 3.77–14.41 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 51.50 44.71–58.29 43.04–59.96 | 47.92 41.13–54.70 39.46–56.37 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 437 369–504 351–522 | 440 374–506 356–524 | 877 743–1010 707–1046 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.39 71.36–79.42 70.07–80.72 | 76.88 72.56–81.21 71.25–82.52 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.82–15.49 9.06–16.25 | 12.95 10.01–15.90 9.26–16.65 | 25.61 19.83–31.39 18.32–32.89 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.77 1.52–6.02 0.93–6.61 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.62–3.25 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 35% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.93 0.67–4.31 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 5.35 2.36–8.34 1.55–9.16 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+