UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.563.03safe0.50–2.430.71–2.421.21–4.85safer0.25–2.690.48–2.650.73–5.33
Shots on target
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.834.899.72safe2.97–6.693.15–6.636.11–13.32safer2.48–7.182.68–7.105.16–14.28
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2713.7127.98safe10.34–18.1910.15–17.2720.49–35.47safer9.25–19.289.19–18.2318.44–37.52
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.349.1418.48safe6.40–12.286.46–11.8212.86–24.10safer5.57–13.115.72–12.5611.29–25.67
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.003.687.68safe2.12–5.882.03–5.344.15–11.22safer1.57–6.421.54–5.833.11–12.25
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.084.359.43safe2.87–7.292.35–6.355.21–13.64safer2.29–7.871.81–6.884.11–14.75
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.4353.27safe39.64–53.2246.49–60.06safer37.97–54.8944.82–61.73
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction416467883safe349–483400–533749–1016safer331–502383–550713–1052
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction70.3077.97safe66.27–74.3373.65–82.29safer64.97–75.6272.34–83.60
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4513.3725.82safe9.61–15.2910.42–16.3120.03–31.60safer8.85–16.049.67–17.0618.53–33.10
Offsides
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.533.76safe1.07–3.390.44–2.621.50–6.01safer0.77–3.690.15–2.910.91–6.60
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.494.47safe0.93–3.031.36–3.612.29–6.64safer0.67–3.301.07–3.911.73–7.20
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.146.22safe1.65–4.521.58–4.703.23–9.22safer1.26–4.911.16–5.122.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.43 0.25–2.69 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 4.89 3.15–6.63 2.68–7.10 | 9.72 6.11–13.32 5.16–14.28 | 43% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.34–18.19 9.25–19.28 | 13.71 10.15–17.27 9.19–18.23 | 27.98 20.49–35.47 18.44–37.52 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 9.34 6.40–12.28 5.57–13.11 | 9.14 6.46–11.82 5.72–12.56 | 18.48 12.86–24.10 11.29–25.67 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.88 1.57–6.42 | 3.68 2.03–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 7.68 4.15–11.22 3.11–12.25 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.29 2.29–7.87 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.81–6.88 | 9.43 5.21–13.64 4.11–14.75 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 46.43 39.64–53.22 37.97–54.89 | 53.27 46.49–60.06 44.82–61.73 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 331–502 | 467 400–533 383–550 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.30 66.27–74.33 64.97–75.62 | 77.97 73.65–82.29 72.34–83.60 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 12.45 9.61–15.29 8.85–16.04 | 13.37 10.42–16.31 9.67–17.06 | 25.82 20.03–31.60 18.53–33.10 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.76 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.60 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 2.49 1.36–3.61 1.07–3.91 | 4.47 2.29–6.64 1.73–7.20 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 6.22 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.