UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 3·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.410.743.15safe1.44–3.380.00–1.601.33–4.98safer1.19–3.630.00–1.820.85–5.46
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.062.659.71safe5.20–8.920.91–4.396.10–13.31safer4.71–9.410.44–4.865.15–14.27
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.748.4527.19safe14.82–22.674.89–12.0119.70–34.68safer13.73–23.763.93–12.9717.65–36.73
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.214.9317.14safe9.27–15.152.25–7.6111.52–22.77safer8.44–15.981.51–8.359.95–24.33
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.851.996.84safe2.97–6.730.34–3.653.31–10.38safer2.42–7.280.00–4.142.27–11.41
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.202.789.98safe4.99–9.410.78–4.785.77–14.20safer4.41–9.990.25–5.324.66–15.30
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.5236.75safe56.73–70.3129.96–43.53safer55.06–71.9828.29–45.20
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction563329892safe496–630262–395758–1025safer478–648245–413722–1061
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction79.0971.18safe75.06–83.1266.86–75.51safer73.76–84.4165.55–76.82
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8413.6526.49safe10.00–15.6810.70–16.5920.71–32.27safer9.25–16.439.95–17.3419.20–33.77
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.363.64safe1.12–3.440.27–2.451.38–5.89safer0.82–3.740.00–2.740.80–6.48
Yellow cards
22%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.804.51safe0.66–2.761.67–3.932.33–6.69safer0.40–3.031.38–4.221.78–7.25
Red cards
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.58safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.974.496.46safe0.53–3.412.93–6.043.47–9.45safer0.15–3.792.51–6.472.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.41 1.44–3.38 1.19–3.63 | 0.74 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.82 | 3.15 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.06 5.20–8.92 4.71–9.41 | 2.65 0.91–4.39 0.44–4.86 | 9.71 6.10–13.31 5.15–14.27 | 90% |
| Total shots | 18.74 14.82–22.67 13.73–23.76 | 8.45 4.89–12.01 3.93–12.97 | 27.19 19.70–34.68 17.65–36.73 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.21 9.27–15.15 8.44–15.98 | 4.93 2.25–7.61 1.51–8.35 | 17.14 11.52–22.77 9.95–24.33 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.85 2.97–6.73 2.42–7.28 | 1.99 0.34–3.65 0.00–4.14 | 6.84 3.31–10.38 2.27–11.41 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.20 4.99–9.41 4.41–9.99 | 2.78 0.78–4.78 0.25–5.32 | 9.98 5.77–14.20 4.66–15.30 | 90% |
| Possession % | 63.52 56.73–70.31 55.06–71.98 | 36.75 29.96–43.53 28.29–45.20 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 563 496–630 478–648 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 892 758–1025 722–1061 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.09 75.06–83.12 73.76–84.41 | 71.18 66.86–75.51 65.55–76.82 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 12.84 10.00–15.68 9.25–16.43 | 13.65 10.70–16.59 9.95–17.34 | 26.49 20.71–32.27 19.20–33.77 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.80–6.48 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 2.80 1.67–3.93 1.38–4.22 | 4.51 2.33–6.69 1.78–7.25 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% 13% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.53–3.41 0.15–3.79 | 4.49 2.93–6.04 2.51–6.47 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+