Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.852.85safe0.03–1.970.99–2.701.02–4.67safer0.00–2.220.76–2.930.54–5.15
Shots on target
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.635.088.71safe1.77–5.493.33–6.825.10–12.31safer1.28–5.982.87–7.294.15–13.27
Total shots
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7913.8725.67safe7.87–15.7210.31–17.4418.18–33.16safer6.78–16.819.35–18.4016.13–35.21
Shots in box
31%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction6.958.3815.33safe4.01–9.895.70–11.069.71–20.96safer3.18–10.724.96–11.808.14–22.52
Blocked shots
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.025.95safe1.05–4.811.37–4.672.42–9.49safer0.50–5.360.88–5.171.38–10.52
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.289.63safe2.13–6.563.28–7.285.41–13.84safer1.56–7.132.75–7.824.31–14.95
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction38.8860.91safe32.09–45.6754.13–67.70safer30.42–47.3452.46–69.37
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction367564931safe300–434498–631798–1065safer282–452480–648762–1101
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction76.9786.39safe72.95–81.0082.07–90.71safer71.65–82.3080.76–92.02
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9210.8922.82safe9.09–14.767.95–13.8417.03–28.60safer8.33–15.527.20–14.5815.53–30.10
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.363.61safe1.10–3.420.26–2.451.36–5.87safer0.80–3.720.00–2.740.77–6.46
Yellow cards
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.503.20safe0.65–2.750.37–2.631.02–5.38safer0.38–3.010.08–2.920.47–5.94
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
50%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.655.80safe1.72–4.591.09–4.202.81–8.79safer1.33–4.980.67–4.632.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 1.85 0.99–2.70 0.76–2.93 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.63 1.77–5.49 1.28–5.98 | 5.08 3.33–6.82 2.87–7.29 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 25% 62% |
| Total shots | 11.79 7.87–15.72 6.78–16.81 | 13.87 10.31–17.44 9.35–18.40 | 25.67 18.18–33.16 16.13–35.21 | 30% 62% |
| Shots in box | 6.95 4.01–9.89 3.18–10.72 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.80 | 15.33 9.71–20.96 8.14–22.52 | 31% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 2.93 1.05–4.81 0.50–5.36 | 3.02 1.37–4.67 0.88–5.17 | 5.95 2.42–9.49 1.38–10.52 | 40% 17% 43% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.56 1.56–7.13 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.75–7.82 | 9.63 5.41–13.84 4.31–14.95 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 38.88 32.09–45.67 30.42–47.34 | 60.91 54.13–67.70 52.46–69.37 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 367 300–434 282–452 | 564 498–631 480–648 | 931 798–1065 762–1101 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.97 72.95–81.00 71.65–82.30 | 86.39 82.07–90.71 80.76–92.02 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.09–14.76 8.33–15.52 | 10.89 7.95–13.84 7.20–14.58 | 22.82 17.03–28.60 15.53–30.10 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.42 0.80–3.72 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.61 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 1.50 0.37–2.63 0.08–2.92 | 3.20 1.02–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 2.65 1.09–4.20 0.67–4.63 | 5.80 2.81–8.79 2.00–9.61 | 50% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.