Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
24%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.712.72safe0.04–1.980.86–2.570.90–4.55safer0.00–2.230.63–2.800.42–5.03
Shots on target
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.314.948.26safe1.45–5.183.20–6.694.65–11.86safer0.96–5.662.74–7.153.70–12.82
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9213.1724.09safe6.99–14.849.61–16.7316.60–31.57safer5.90–15.938.65–17.6914.55–33.62
Shots in box
18%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction6.549.6416.19safe3.60–9.496.96–12.3310.57–21.81safer2.77–10.326.23–13.069.00–23.38
Blocked shots
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.106.21safe1.23–4.991.45–4.752.67–9.74safer0.68–5.530.95–5.241.64–10.78
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.165.279.44safe1.95–6.373.27–7.275.22–13.65safer1.37–6.952.74–7.814.12–14.76
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.5555.16safe37.76–51.3448.37–61.94safer36.09–53.0146.70–63.61
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction390457847safe323–457390–523713–980safer305–475373–541677–1016
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction66.6872.39safe62.65–70.7168.06–76.71safer61.36–72.0066.75–78.02
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5811.9723.55safe8.75–14.429.02–14.9117.77–29.33safer7.99–15.188.27–15.6616.26–30.84
Offsides
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.482.86safe0.21–2.530.39–2.580.60–5.11safer0.00–2.830.10–2.870.01–5.70
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.043.74safe0.66–2.760.91–3.171.56–5.92safer0.39–3.020.62–3.461.01–6.48
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
53%
17%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.142.435.57safe1.70–4.570.87–3.982.57–8.56safer1.32–4.960.45–4.411.76–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.80 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 22% 24% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.31 1.45–5.18 0.96–5.66 | 4.94 3.20–6.69 2.74–7.15 | 8.26 4.65–11.86 3.70–12.82 | 23% 65% |
| Total shots | 10.92 6.99–14.84 5.90–15.93 | 13.17 9.61–16.73 8.65–17.69 | 24.09 16.60–31.57 14.55–33.62 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 6.54 3.60–9.49 2.77–10.32 | 9.64 6.96–12.33 6.23–13.06 | 16.19 10.57–21.81 9.00–23.38 | 18% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 3.10 1.45–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.21 2.67–9.74 1.64–10.78 | 42% 16% 42% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.95–6.37 1.37–6.95 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.81 | 9.44 5.22–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 44.55 37.76–51.34 36.09–53.01 | 55.16 48.37–61.94 46.70–63.61 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 390 323–457 305–475 | 457 390–523 373–541 | 847 713–980 677–1016 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.68 62.65–70.71 61.36–72.00 | 72.39 68.06–76.71 66.75–78.02 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.75–14.42 7.99–15.18 | 11.97 9.02–14.91 8.27–15.66 | 23.55 17.77–29.33 16.26–30.84 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.87 | 2.86 0.60–5.11 0.01–5.70 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.70–4.57 1.32–4.96 | 2.43 0.87–3.98 0.45–4.41 | 5.57 2.57–8.56 1.76–9.37 | 53% 17% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.