UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.412.61safe0.24–2.170.55–2.260.79–4.43safer0.00–2.420.32–2.490.31–4.91
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.063.988.05safe2.20–5.932.24–5.724.44–11.65safer1.71–6.421.77–6.193.49–12.61
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3411.0922.43safe7.41–15.267.53–14.6514.94–29.91safer6.32–16.356.57–15.6112.89–31.96
Shots in box
38%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction6.887.5214.41safe3.94–9.824.84–10.208.78–20.03safer3.11–10.654.11–10.947.22–21.60
Blocked shots
48%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.972.545.51safe1.09–4.850.89–4.201.98–9.05safer0.54–5.390.40–4.690.94–10.08
Corners
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.464.749.21safe2.25–6.682.74–6.744.99–13.42safer1.68–7.252.21–7.283.89–14.53
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction48.0353.17safe41.24–54.8246.39–59.96safer39.57–56.4944.72–61.63
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction363447809safe295–430380–513676–943safer277–448363–531640–979
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction70.8376.30safe66.80–74.8671.98–80.62safer65.51–76.1570.67–81.93
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1713.8327.00safe10.33–16.0110.89–16.7721.22–32.78safer9.58–16.7610.14–17.5219.71–34.29
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.453.32safe0.71–3.030.36–2.541.06–5.57safer0.41–3.330.07–2.830.48–6.16
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.194.03safe0.78–2.881.06–3.321.85–6.20safer0.52–3.150.77–3.611.29–6.76
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
42%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.852.795.64safe1.42–4.291.23–4.352.65–8.63safer1.03–4.680.81–4.771.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.24–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.06 2.20–5.93 1.71–6.42 | 3.98 2.24–5.72 1.77–6.19 | 8.05 4.44–11.65 3.49–12.61 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 11.34 7.41–15.26 6.32–16.35 | 11.09 7.53–14.65 6.57–15.61 | 22.43 14.94–29.91 12.89–31.96 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 6.88 3.94–9.82 3.11–10.65 | 7.52 4.84–10.20 4.11–10.94 | 14.41 8.78–20.03 7.22–21.60 | 38% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.85 0.54–5.39 | 2.54 0.89–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 5.51 1.98–9.05 0.94–10.08 | 48% 17% 34% |
| Corners | 4.46 2.25–6.68 1.68–7.25 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.21–7.28 | 9.21 4.99–13.42 3.89–14.53 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Possession % | 48.03 41.24–54.82 39.57–56.49 | 53.17 46.39–59.96 44.72–61.63 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 363 295–430 277–448 | 447 380–513 363–531 | 809 676–943 640–979 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.83 66.80–74.86 65.51–76.15 | 76.30 71.98–80.62 70.67–81.93 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 13.17 10.33–16.01 9.58–16.76 | 13.83 10.89–16.77 10.14–17.52 | 27.00 21.22–32.78 19.71–34.29 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.32 1.06–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.03 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 2.79 1.23–4.35 0.81–4.77 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.84–9.45 | 42% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.