UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.262.95safe0.72–2.650.41–2.121.12–4.77safer0.46–2.900.18–2.350.64–5.25
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.323.909.22safe3.46–7.182.16–5.645.61–12.82safer2.97–7.671.69–6.114.66–13.78
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6610.2124.87safe10.73–18.586.65–13.7717.38–32.36safer9.64–19.675.69–14.7315.33–34.41
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.696.7416.44safe6.75–12.644.06–9.4210.81–22.06safer5.92–13.473.32–10.169.25–23.63
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.112.676.78safe2.23–5.991.02–4.323.24–10.31safer1.68–6.540.52–4.812.21–11.35
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.069.70safe3.42–7.852.06–6.065.49–13.91safer2.85–8.421.53–6.594.38–15.02
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.9642.11safe51.17–64.7535.33–48.90safer49.50–66.4233.65–50.57
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction493354847safe426–560288–421714–981safer408–578270–438678–1017
Pass accuracy %
72%
23%
homeawayprediction76.7871.67safe72.75–80.8167.35–76.00safer71.46–82.1066.04–77.31
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0013.9825.97safe9.16–14.8311.03–16.9220.19–31.76safer8.40–15.5910.29–17.6718.69–33.26
Offsides
26%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.442.083.52safe0.28–2.600.99–3.181.27–5.78safer0.00–2.900.70–3.470.68–6.37
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.184.21safe0.98–3.081.05–3.312.04–6.39safer0.72–3.350.76–3.601.48–6.95
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
31%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.546.33safe1.35–4.231.98–5.103.34–9.32safer0.97–4.611.56–5.522.53–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.72–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.32 3.46–7.18 2.97–7.67 | 3.90 2.16–5.64 1.69–6.11 | 9.22 5.61–12.82 4.66–13.78 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.66 10.73–18.58 9.64–19.67 | 10.21 6.65–13.77 5.69–14.73 | 24.87 17.38–32.36 15.33–34.41 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.69 6.75–12.64 5.92–13.47 | 6.74 4.06–9.42 3.32–10.16 | 16.44 10.81–22.06 9.25–23.63 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.54 | 2.67 1.02–4.32 0.52–4.81 | 6.78 3.24–10.31 2.21–11.35 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.42–7.85 2.85–8.42 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.59 | 9.70 5.49–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 57.96 51.17–64.75 49.50–66.42 | 42.11 35.33–48.90 33.65–50.57 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 493 426–560 408–578 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 847 714–981 678–1017 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.78 72.75–80.81 71.46–82.10 | 71.67 67.35–76.00 66.04–77.31 | — | 72% 23% |
| Fouls | 12.00 9.16–14.83 8.40–15.59 | 13.98 11.03–16.92 10.29–17.67 | 25.97 20.19–31.76 18.69–33.26 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 2.08 0.99–3.18 0.70–3.47 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 26% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.21 2.04–6.39 1.48–6.95 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.23 0.97–4.61 | 3.54 1.98–5.10 1.56–5.52 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.13 | 31% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.