Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.750.893.64safe1.78–3.720.04–1.751.82–5.47safer1.53–3.970.00–1.971.34–5.95
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.632.8710.50safe5.77–9.491.13–4.626.90–14.11safer5.28–9.980.67–5.085.94–15.06
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.509.1828.68safe15.57–23.425.61–12.7421.19–36.16safer14.48–24.514.65–13.7019.14–38.21
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.605.8519.45safe10.66–16.543.17–8.5313.83–25.07safer9.83–17.372.43–9.2712.26–26.64
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.192.257.43safe3.30–7.070.59–3.903.90–10.97safer2.76–7.610.10–4.392.86–12.00
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.172.829.99safe4.96–9.380.82–4.825.78–14.21safer4.38–9.960.29–5.364.67–15.31
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.2339.47safe54.44–68.0232.69–46.26safer52.77–69.6931.02–47.93
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction556362918safe489–623296–428784–1052safer471–642278–446749–1088
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction79.4173.79safe75.38–83.4469.47–78.11safer74.09–84.7368.16–79.42
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9611.2422.20safe8.12–13.808.30–14.1916.42–27.99safer7.37–14.557.55–14.9414.92–29.49
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.003.72safe0.56–2.880.91–3.101.47–5.98safer0.26–3.180.62–3.380.88–6.57
Yellow cards
26%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.173.62safe0.41–2.511.04–3.291.44–5.80safer0.14–2.770.75–3.590.89–6.36
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.81
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.874.436.29safe0.43–3.302.87–5.983.30–9.28safer0.04–3.692.44–6.412.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.75 1.78–3.72 1.53–3.97 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.97 | 3.64 1.82–5.47 1.34–5.95 | 76% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.63 5.77–9.49 5.28–9.98 | 2.87 1.13–4.62 0.67–5.08 | 10.50 6.90–14.11 5.94–15.06 | 91% |
| Total shots | 19.50 15.57–23.42 14.48–24.51 | 9.18 5.61–12.74 4.65–13.70 | 28.68 21.19–36.16 19.14–38.21 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.60 10.66–16.54 9.83–17.37 | 5.85 3.17–8.53 2.43–9.27 | 19.45 13.83–25.07 12.26–26.64 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.19 3.30–7.07 2.76–7.61 | 2.25 0.59–3.90 0.10–4.39 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.17 4.96–9.38 4.38–9.96 | 2.82 0.82–4.82 0.29–5.36 | 9.99 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.31 | 89% |
| Possession % | 61.23 54.44–68.02 52.77–69.69 | 39.47 32.69–46.26 31.02–47.93 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 556 489–623 471–642 | 362 296–428 278–446 | 918 784–1052 749–1088 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.41 75.38–83.44 74.09–84.73 | 73.79 69.47–78.11 68.16–79.42 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 10.96 8.12–13.80 7.37–14.55 | 11.24 8.30–14.19 7.55–14.94 | 22.20 16.42–27.99 14.92–29.49 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 2.00 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.38 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 2.17 1.04–3.29 0.75–3.59 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 26% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.87 0.43–3.30 0.04–3.69 | 4.43 2.87–5.98 2.44–6.41 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+