UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.000.753.76safe2.04–3.970.00–1.611.94–5.58safer1.78–4.220.00–1.841.46–6.06
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.892.8110.70safe6.03–9.751.07–4.557.10–14.31safer5.54–10.240.60–5.026.14–15.26
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.588.2029.79safe17.66–25.514.64–11.7722.30–37.28safer16.57–26.603.68–12.7320.25–39.33
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.244.9119.15safe11.30–17.182.23–7.5913.53–24.77safer10.47–18.011.49–8.3311.96–26.34
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.791.997.78safe3.91–7.670.34–3.654.25–11.32safer3.36–8.220.00–4.143.21–12.35
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.262.609.86safe5.05–9.480.60–4.605.65–14.08safer4.47–10.050.07–5.144.54–15.18
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction64.3536.35safe57.56–71.1429.56–43.13safer55.89–72.8127.89–44.81
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction620365984safe553–687298–431851–1118safer534–705281–449815–1154
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction82.0272.38safe77.99–86.0568.05–76.70safer76.70–87.3566.74–78.01
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.049.6119.65safe7.21–12.886.66–12.5513.87–25.43safer6.45–13.645.91–13.3012.36–26.94
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.733.54safe0.65–2.970.64–2.821.29–5.79safer0.35–3.270.35–3.110.70–6.38
Yellow cards
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.732.88safe0.11–2.200.60–2.860.70–5.06safer0.00–2.470.31–3.150.15–5.62
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.76
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.014.416.42safe0.58–3.452.85–5.963.43–9.41safer0.19–3.842.43–6.392.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.00 2.04–3.97 1.78–4.22 | 0.75 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 3.76 1.94–5.58 1.46–6.06 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 7.89 6.03–9.75 5.54–10.24 | 2.81 1.07–4.55 0.60–5.02 | 10.70 7.10–14.31 6.14–15.26 | 92% |
| Total shots | 21.58 17.66–25.51 16.57–26.60 | 8.20 4.64–11.77 3.68–12.73 | 29.79 22.30–37.28 20.25–39.33 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.24 11.30–17.18 10.47–18.01 | 4.91 2.23–7.59 1.49–8.33 | 19.15 13.53–24.77 11.96–26.34 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.79 3.91–7.67 3.36–8.22 | 1.99 0.34–3.65 0.00–4.14 | 7.78 4.25–11.32 3.21–12.35 | 89% |
| Corners | 7.26 5.05–9.48 4.47–10.05 | 2.60 0.60–4.60 0.07–5.14 | 9.86 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.18 | 91% |
| Possession % | 64.35 57.56–71.14 55.89–72.81 | 36.35 29.56–43.13 27.89–44.81 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 620 553–687 534–705 | 365 298–431 281–449 | 984 851–1118 815–1154 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.02 77.99–86.05 76.70–87.35 | 72.38 68.05–76.70 66.74–78.01 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.04 7.21–12.88 6.45–13.64 | 9.61 6.66–12.55 5.91–13.30 | 19.65 13.87–25.43 12.36–26.94 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.54 1.29–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.11–2.20 0.00–2.47 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 2.88 0.70–5.06 0.15–5.62 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.58–3.45 0.19–3.84 | 4.41 2.85–5.96 2.43–6.39 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.62–10.23 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.