Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.810.843.66safe1.85–3.780.00–1.701.84–5.48safer1.59–4.030.00–1.931.36–5.96
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.202.8410.04safe5.34–9.071.10–4.586.44–13.65safer4.85–9.560.63–5.055.48–14.60
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.548.5427.09safe14.62–22.474.98–12.1119.60–34.57safer13.53–23.564.02–13.0717.55–36.62
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.625.1617.77safe9.68–15.562.47–7.8412.15–23.40safer8.85–16.391.74–8.5710.58–24.96
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction4.941.886.83safe3.06–6.830.23–3.533.29–10.36safer2.52–7.370.00–4.032.25–11.40
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.272.9610.23safe5.05–9.480.96–4.966.02–14.44safer4.48–10.050.43–5.504.91–15.55
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.8635.77safe58.07–71.6528.98–42.55safer56.40–73.3227.31–44.22
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction595339934safe528–662272–405800–1067safer510–680255–423764–1103
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction79.6669.01safe75.63–83.6964.69–73.34safer74.34–84.9863.38–74.65
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8910.8820.77safe7.05–12.727.93–13.8214.98–26.55safer6.29–13.487.19–14.5713.48–28.05
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.843.41safe0.40–2.720.75–2.941.15–5.66safer0.10–3.020.46–3.230.56–6.25
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.933.17safe0.18–2.280.80–3.060.99–5.34safer0.00–2.550.51–3.350.43–5.90
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
13%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.074.296.36safe0.63–3.512.74–5.853.37–9.35safer0.25–3.892.31–6.272.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.81 1.85–3.78 1.59–4.03 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.66 1.84–5.48 1.36–5.96 | 78% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.20 5.34–9.07 4.85–9.56 | 2.84 1.10–4.58 0.63–5.05 | 10.04 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.60 | 89% |
| Total shots | 18.54 14.62–22.47 13.53–23.56 | 8.54 4.98–12.11 4.02–13.07 | 27.09 19.60–34.57 17.55–36.62 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.62 9.68–15.56 8.85–16.39 | 5.16 2.47–7.84 1.74–8.57 | 17.77 12.15–23.40 10.58–24.96 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.94 3.06–6.83 2.52–7.37 | 1.88 0.23–3.53 0.00–4.03 | 6.83 3.29–10.36 2.25–11.40 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.27 5.05–9.48 4.48–10.05 | 2.96 0.96–4.96 0.43–5.50 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 89% |
| Possession % | 64.86 58.07–71.65 56.40–73.32 | 35.77 28.98–42.55 27.31–44.22 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 595 528–662 510–680 | 339 272–405 255–423 | 934 800–1067 764–1103 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.66 75.63–83.69 74.34–84.98 | 69.01 64.69–73.34 63.38–74.65 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 9.89 7.05–12.72 6.29–13.48 | 10.88 7.93–13.82 7.19–14.57 | 20.77 14.98–26.55 13.48–28.05 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.23 | 3.41 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.23 0.18–2.28 0.00–2.55 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.17 0.99–5.34 0.43–5.90 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.63–3.51 0.25–3.89 | 4.29 2.74–5.85 2.31–6.27 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.56–10.17 | 13% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+