UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 3·
UEFA Europa Conference League·League Stage - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.980.693.67safe2.01–3.950.00–1.551.85–5.49safer1.76–4.200.00–1.781.37–5.97
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction7.742.239.97safe5.88–9.600.48–3.976.36–13.57safer5.39–10.090.02–4.445.41–14.53
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.997.1627.15safe16.07–23.923.60–10.7219.66–34.64safer14.98–25.012.64–11.6817.61–36.69
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction13.833.6217.45safe10.88–16.770.94–6.3111.83–23.07safer10.06–17.600.21–7.0410.26–24.64
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.081.736.81safe3.20–6.960.08–3.383.27–10.34safer2.65–7.510.00–3.872.24–11.38
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.462.6710.13safe5.25–9.680.67–4.675.91–14.34safer4.67–10.250.13–5.204.81–15.45
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.6238.30safe55.82–69.4131.52–45.09safer54.16–71.0729.84–46.76
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction579372951safe512–646306–439818–1085safer494–665288–456782–1121
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction78.7869.98safe74.76–82.8165.65–74.30safer73.46–84.1164.34–75.61
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.149.7219.85safe7.30–12.976.77–12.6614.07–25.63safer6.54–13.736.02–13.4112.57–27.14
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.973.98safe0.85–3.170.88–3.061.72–6.23safer0.55–3.470.59–3.351.13–6.82
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.833.02safe0.14–2.240.70–2.960.84–5.20safer0.00–2.510.41–3.250.28–5.75
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction1.794.476.26safe0.36–3.232.91–6.033.27–9.26safer0.00–3.622.49–6.452.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.98 2.01–3.95 1.76–4.20 | 0.69 0.00–1.55 0.00–1.78 | 3.67 1.85–5.49 1.37–5.97 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 7.74 5.88–9.60 5.39–10.09 | 2.23 0.48–3.97 0.02–4.44 | 9.97 6.36–13.57 5.41–14.53 | 95% |
| Total shots | 19.99 16.07–23.92 14.98–25.01 | 7.16 3.60–10.72 2.64–11.68 | 27.15 19.66–34.64 17.61–36.69 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.83 10.88–16.77 10.06–17.60 | 3.62 0.94–6.31 0.21–7.04 | 17.45 11.83–23.07 10.26–24.64 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.08 3.20–6.96 2.65–7.51 | 1.73 0.08–3.38 0.00–3.87 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 87% |
| Corners | 7.46 5.25–9.68 4.67–10.25 | 2.67 0.67–4.67 0.13–5.20 | 10.13 5.91–14.34 4.81–15.45 | 92% |
| Possession % | 62.62 55.82–69.41 54.16–71.07 | 38.30 31.52–45.09 29.84–46.76 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 579 512–646 494–665 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 951 818–1085 782–1121 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.78 74.76–82.81 73.46–84.11 | 69.98 65.65–74.30 64.34–75.61 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.14 7.30–12.97 6.54–13.73 | 9.72 6.77–12.66 6.02–13.41 | 19.85 14.07–25.63 12.57–27.14 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.97 0.88–3.06 0.59–3.35 | 3.98 1.72–6.23 1.13–6.82 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.51 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.02 0.84–5.20 0.28–5.75 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.79 0.36–3.23 0.00–3.62 | 4.47 2.91–6.03 2.49–6.45 | 6.26 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.