Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.240.953.19safe1.27–3.210.10–1.811.37–5.02safer1.02–3.460.00–2.040.89–5.50
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.963.1110.07safe5.10–8.821.37–4.866.47–13.68safer4.61–9.310.91–5.325.51–14.63
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.909.4828.37safe14.97–22.825.92–13.0420.89–35.86safer13.88–23.914.96–14.0018.84–37.91
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.745.2818.03safe9.80–15.692.60–7.9612.40–23.65safer8.97–16.521.86–8.7010.84–25.22
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.082.727.81safe3.20–6.961.07–4.384.27–11.34safer2.66–7.510.58–4.873.24–12.38
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.903.059.95safe4.68–9.111.05–5.055.74–14.16safer4.11–9.680.52–5.594.63–15.27
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction53.5945.59safe46.80–60.3838.81–52.37safer45.13–62.0537.13–54.05
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction506440946safe439–573374–507813–1080safer421–591356–524777–1116
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction81.9181.05safe77.88–85.9476.72–85.37safer76.59–87.2375.42–86.68
Fouls
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction13.509.5123.01safe10.66–16.346.57–12.4617.23–28.79safer9.91–17.095.82–13.2015.72–30.30
Offsides
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.222.93safe0.55–2.870.13–2.310.68–5.18safer0.25–3.170.00–2.600.09–5.77
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.933.50safe0.53–2.620.80–3.061.33–5.68safer0.26–2.890.51–3.350.77–6.24
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.204.416.61safe0.77–3.642.85–5.963.62–9.60safer0.38–4.032.43–6.392.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.24 1.27–3.21 1.02–3.46 | 0.95 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 3.19 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 67% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.96 5.10–8.82 4.61–9.31 | 3.11 1.37–4.86 0.91–5.32 | 10.07 6.47–13.68 5.51–14.63 | 86% |
| Total shots | 18.90 14.97–22.82 13.88–23.91 | 9.48 5.92–13.04 4.96–14.00 | 28.37 20.89–35.86 18.84–37.91 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.74 9.80–15.69 8.97–16.52 | 5.28 2.60–7.96 1.86–8.70 | 18.03 12.40–23.65 10.84–25.22 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.08 3.20–6.96 2.66–7.51 | 2.72 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 7.81 4.27–11.34 3.24–12.38 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.90 4.68–9.11 4.11–9.68 | 3.05 1.05–5.05 0.52–5.59 | 9.95 5.74–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 86% |
| Possession % | 53.59 46.80–60.38 45.13–62.05 | 45.59 38.81–52.37 37.13–54.05 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 506 439–573 421–591 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.91 77.88–85.94 76.59–87.23 | 81.05 76.72–85.37 75.42–86.68 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 13.50 10.66–16.34 9.91–17.09 | 9.51 6.57–12.46 5.82–13.20 | 23.01 17.23–28.79 15.72–30.30 | 77% 17% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.22 0.13–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 2.93 0.68–5.18 0.09–5.77 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.50 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 4.41 2.85–5.96 2.43–6.39 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.42 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+