Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.162.93safe0.80–2.740.31–2.021.11–4.75safer0.55–2.990.08–2.250.63–5.23
Shots on target
51%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.573.998.56safe2.70–6.432.25–5.744.95–12.17safer2.21–6.921.79–6.204.00–13.12
Total shots
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3411.6623.00safe7.41–15.268.10–15.2215.51–30.48safer6.32–16.357.14–16.1813.46–32.53
Shots in box
49%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction7.497.0414.54safe4.55–10.444.36–9.738.91–20.16safer3.72–11.273.63–10.467.35–21.73
Blocked shots
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.773.205.97safe0.89–4.651.55–4.852.43–9.50safer0.34–5.191.05–5.341.40–10.54
Corners
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.999.29safe3.09–7.521.99–5.995.08–13.50safer2.52–8.091.45–6.523.97–14.61
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.1048.47safe44.31–57.8941.69–55.26safer42.64–59.5640.02–56.93
Passes
58%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction414388802safe347–481322–455668–936safer329–499304–472633–972
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction70.9972.68safe66.96–75.0268.36–77.01safer65.67–76.3167.05–78.32
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4112.1525.56safe10.57–16.249.21–15.1019.78–31.34safer9.81–17.008.46–15.8518.27–32.85
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.913.91safe0.84–3.160.82–3.011.66–6.17safer0.54–3.460.53–3.291.07–6.76
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.344.21safe0.82–2.921.21–3.472.03–6.39safer0.56–3.190.92–3.761.47–6.95
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.100.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.025.67safe1.21–4.081.47–4.582.68–8.66safer0.82–4.471.04–5.001.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.70–6.43 2.21–6.92 | 3.99 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.20 | 8.56 4.95–12.17 4.00–13.12 | 51% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 11.34 7.41–15.26 6.32–16.35 | 11.66 8.10–15.22 7.14–16.18 | 23.00 15.51–30.48 13.46–32.53 | 43% 48% |
| Shots in box | 7.49 4.55–10.44 3.72–11.27 | 7.04 4.36–9.73 3.63–10.46 | 14.54 8.91–20.16 7.35–21.73 | 49% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 2.77 0.89–4.65 0.34–5.19 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 5.97 2.43–9.50 1.40–10.54 | 35% 16% 49% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.09–7.52 2.52–8.09 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.45–6.52 | 9.29 5.08–13.50 3.97–14.61 | 60% 27% |
| Possession % | 51.10 44.31–57.89 42.64–59.56 | 48.47 41.69–55.26 40.02–56.93 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 414 347–481 329–499 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 802 668–936 633–972 | 58% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.99 66.96–75.02 65.67–76.31 | 72.68 68.36–77.01 67.05–78.32 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 13.41 10.57–16.24 9.81–17.00 | 12.15 9.21–15.10 8.46–15.85 | 25.56 19.78–31.34 18.27–32.85 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.91 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.29 | 3.91 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 4.21 2.03–6.39 1.47–6.95 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.02 1.47–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.87–9.48 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.