Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoals
39%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.232.55safe0.35–2.290.37–2.080.73–4.37safer0.10–2.540.15–2.310.25–4.85
Shots on target
40%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.508.73safe2.37–6.092.76–6.245.12–12.33safer1.88–6.582.29–6.714.17–13.29
Total shots
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4011.0621.46safe6.47–14.327.50–14.6213.97–28.94safer5.38–15.416.54–15.5811.92–30.99
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction7.657.5415.18safe4.71–10.594.85–10.229.56–20.81safer3.88–11.424.12–10.957.99–22.37
Blocked shots
42%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.852.795.64safe0.97–4.731.14–4.442.11–9.18safer0.43–5.280.64–4.931.07–10.21
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.084.619.70safe2.87–7.302.61–6.615.48–13.91safer2.30–7.872.08–7.154.38–15.02
Possession %
45%
51%
homeawayprediction49.6650.98safe42.87–56.4544.20–57.77safer41.20–58.1242.53–59.44
Passes
52%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction408403811safe341–475336–469677–945safer323–493319–487641–980
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction75.0574.54safe71.02–79.0870.22–78.86safer69.73–80.3768.91–80.17
Fouls
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0014.4928.48safe11.16–16.8411.54–17.4322.70–34.27safer10.41–17.5910.79–18.1821.20–35.77
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.933.89safe0.79–3.120.84–3.031.64–6.14safer0.49–3.420.55–3.311.05–6.73
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.254.34safe1.04–3.141.12–3.382.16–6.52safer0.77–3.400.83–3.671.61–7.08
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.045.87safe1.39–4.261.49–4.602.88–8.86safer1.00–4.651.06–5.022.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.15–2.31 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 39% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 4.50 2.76–6.24 2.29–6.71 | 8.73 5.12–12.33 4.17–13.29 | 40% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 10.40 6.47–14.32 5.38–15.41 | 11.06 7.50–14.62 6.54–15.58 | 21.46 13.97–28.94 11.92–30.99 | 40% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.65 4.71–10.59 3.88–11.42 | 7.54 4.85–10.22 4.12–10.95 | 15.18 9.56–20.81 7.99–22.37 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.97–4.73 0.43–5.28 | 2.79 1.14–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 5.64 2.11–9.18 1.07–10.21 | 42% 17% 40% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.30 2.30–7.87 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.15 | 9.70 5.48–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 49.66 42.87–56.45 41.20–58.12 | 50.98 44.20–57.77 42.53–59.44 | — | 45% 51% |
| Passes | 408 341–475 323–493 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 811 677–945 641–980 | 52% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.05 71.02–79.08 69.73–80.37 | 74.54 70.22–78.86 68.91–80.17 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 14.00 11.16–16.84 10.41–17.59 | 14.49 11.54–17.43 10.79–18.18 | 28.48 22.70–34.27 21.20–35.77 | 43% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.79–3.12 0.49–3.42 | 1.93 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.31 | 3.89 1.64–6.14 1.05–6.73 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.77–3.40 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.34 2.16–6.52 1.61–7.08 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.04 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.